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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 18
Dec 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Deeside College Stadium

Connah's Quay
1 - 1
Caernarfon

Hughes (34' pen.)
Marriott (69'), Nash (71'), Edwards (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Davies (61')
Mendes (15'), Sears (65'), Mooney (83')
Mooney (88')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Caernarfon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions
Last Game: Newtown 0-3 Connah's Quay
Saturday, November 30 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Briton Ferry 0-1 Caernarfon
Saturday, November 9 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 55.46%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 22.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (5.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawCaernarfon Town
55.46% (-1.755 -1.76) 22.23% (0.44 0.44) 22.31% (1.315 1.32)
Both teams to score 57.71% (0.419 0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.58% (-0.342 -0.34)41.42% (0.343 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.18% (-0.346 -0.35)63.82% (0.348 0.35)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.17% (-0.675 -0.67)14.83% (0.675 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.86% (-1.306 -1.31)43.14% (1.307 1.31)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.76% (1.021 1.02)32.23% (-1.02 -1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.27% (1.141 1.14)68.73% (-1.139 -1.14)
Score Analysis
    Connah's Quay Nomads 55.46%
    Caernarfon Town 22.31%
    Draw 22.23%
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawCaernarfon Town
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
1-0 @ 9.12% (-0.078999999999999 -0.08)
2-0 @ 8.71% (-0.29 -0.29)
3-1 @ 6.27% (-0.185 -0.19)
3-0 @ 5.54% (-0.325 -0.33)
3-2 @ 3.55% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.99% (-0.164 -0.16)
4-0 @ 2.64% (-0.224 -0.22)
4-2 @ 1.69% (-0.044 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.14% (-0.092 -0.09)
5-0 @ 1.01% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 55.46%
1-1 @ 10.33% (0.2 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.127 0.13)
0-0 @ 4.78% (0.074 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.23%
1-2 @ 5.85% (0.269 0.27)
0-1 @ 5.41% (0.23 0.23)
0-2 @ 3.06% (0.211 0.21)
1-3 @ 2.21% (0.16 0.16)
2-3 @ 2.11% (0.105 0.11)
0-3 @ 1.16% (0.109 0.11)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 22.31%

Head to Head
Sep 28, 2024 5.15pm
Gameweek 10
Caernarfon
3-1
Connah's Quay
Mendes (18'), Thomas (45+1'), Clarke (56')
Thomas (28'), Sears (85'), Faux (90+7')
Disney (83' pen.)
Marriott (38')
Mar 15, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Caernarfon
2-1
Connah's Quay
Lloyd (53'), Williams (58')
Donohue (15'), Williams (90+4')
Davies (90+6' pen.)
Roberts (65')
Feb 2, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Connah's Quay
1-1
Caernarfon
Harrington (75')
Bratley (70'), Morris (90+4')
Wilde (59')
Davies (22')
Williams (89')
Oct 27, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Connah's Quay
6-1
Caernarfon
Franklin (2', 6', 11', 45+2'), Kenny (45+8'), Williams (73')
Kenny (20')
Lloyd (79')
Williams (14'), Maher (54'), Lloyd (90')
Sep 1, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Caernarfon
0-4
Connah's Quay

Thomas (37'), Austin (61'), Donohue (71'), Gosset (75')
Poole (10'), Kenny (55'), Davies (70' pen.), Edwards (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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