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Corinthians
Brasileiro | Gameweek 17
Jul 17, 2024 at 1am UK
Arena Corinthians

Corinthians
2 - 1
Criciuma

Romero (54'), Caca (62')
Raniele (67')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Claudinho (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Brasileiro clash between Corinthians and Criciuma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vasco 2-0 Corinthians
Wednesday, July 10 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Criciuma 1-1 Fluminense
Friday, July 12 at 12am in Brasileiro

We said: Corinthians 2-1 Criciuma

Corinthians have struggled for results in recent weeks and find themselves scrambling for points at the wrong end of the table. However, Laruccia's men have enjoyed the better of this fixture and we fancy them to see off Criciuma who have lost four of their last five away matches across all competitions since April. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 60.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Criciuma had a probability of 17.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Criciuma win it was 0-1 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Corinthians in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Corinthians.

Result
CorinthiansDrawCriciuma
60.11% (-1.413 -1.41) 22.67% (0.44 0.44) 17.22% (0.978 0.98)
Both teams to score 47.88% (0.636 0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.66% (-0.19 -0.19)50.34% (0.197 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.72% (-0.171 -0.17)72.28% (0.17500000000001 0.18)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.65% (-0.54000000000001 -0.54)16.35% (0.545 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.03% (-0.991 -0.99)45.97% (0.995 1)
Criciuma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.24% (1.125 1.13)42.76% (-1.121 -1.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.92% (0.942 0.94)79.09% (-0.93600000000001 -0.94)
Score Analysis
    Corinthians 60.11%
    Criciuma 17.22%
    Draw 22.66%
CorinthiansDrawCriciuma
1-0 @ 12.66% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-0 @ 11.46% (-0.34 -0.34)
2-1 @ 9.74% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.92% (-0.337 -0.34)
3-1 @ 5.88% (-0.098000000000001 -0.1)
4-0 @ 3.13% (-0.214 -0.21)
4-1 @ 2.66% (-0.095 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.5% (0.035 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.13% (-0.1 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 0.96% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 60.11%
1-1 @ 10.75% (0.21 0.21)
0-0 @ 6.99% (0.055 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.14% (0.134 0.13)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 22.66%
0-1 @ 5.94% (0.227 0.23)
1-2 @ 4.57% (0.229 0.23)
0-2 @ 2.52% (0.17 0.17)
1-3 @ 1.29% (0.102 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.17% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 17.22%

How you voted: Corinthians vs Criciuma

Corinthians
67.6%
Draw
16.2%
Criciuma
16.2%
37
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo33208552262668
2PalmeirasPalmeiras33197754272764
3FortalezaFortaleza33189647321563
4FlamengoFlamengo33178851371459
5InternacionalInternacional331611646281859
6Sao Paulo331761047341357
7Cruzeiro33138123835347
8Bahia33137134342146
9Vasco da GamaVasco33127143649-1343
10Atletico Mineiro321012104246-442
11Corinthians331011123941-241
12Gremio33116163842-439
13Vitoria33115173848-1038
14Fluminense33107162836-837
15CriciumaCriciuma33910143948-937
16JuventudeJuventude33910144052-1237
17BragantinoBragantino33812133440-636
18Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR3297163441-734
19Cuiaba33611162541-1629
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3368192450-2626


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