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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 79.71%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 6.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.33%) and 1-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.37%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (2.4%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.
Result | ||
Coventry City | Draw | Rotherham United |
79.71% ( 0.93) | 13.4% ( -0.52) | 6.89% ( -0.41) |
Both teams to score 44.91% ( -0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.35% ( 0.92) | 35.65% ( -0.92) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.29% ( 1.01) | 57.71% ( -1.01) |
Coventry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.96% ( 0.39) | 7.03% ( -0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.3% ( 1.04) | 25.7% ( -1.04) |
Rotherham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.31% ( -0.46) | 51.69% ( 0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.2% ( -0.3) | 85.8% ( 0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Coventry City | Draw | Rotherham United |
2-0 @ 12.8% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 11.33% ( 0.19) 1-0 @ 9.65% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.15) 4-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 4.96% ( 0.12) 5-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.23) 5-1 @ 2.64% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.13) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.02) 6-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.84% Total : 79.7% | 1-1 @ 6.37% ( -0.25) 0-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.61% Total : 13.4% | 0-1 @ 2.4% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.39% Total : 6.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 53 |
2 | Burnley | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 52 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 52 |
4 | Sunderland | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 50 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 41 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 40 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 39 |
8 | Watford | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 38 |
9 | Bristol City | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 37 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 36 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 34 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 32 |
14 | Millwall | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 30 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 30 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 29 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 29 |
18 | Derby CountyDerby | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 27 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 27 |
20 | Luton TownLuton | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 25 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 24 |
22 | Portsmouth | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 23 |
23 | Hull City | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 23 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 25 | 54 | -29 | 21 |
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