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Crawley Town
League One | Gameweek 13
Oct 22, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Lincoln City

Crawley
3 - 0
Lincoln

Swan (46'), Darcy (73'), Hepburn-Murphy (90+5')
Ibrahim (43'), Holohan (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

McGrandles (45+2'), O'Connor (81'), Roughan (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Crawley Town and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reading 4-1 Crawley
Saturday, October 19 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 1-3 Birmingham
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in League One

We said: Crawley Town 1-2 Lincoln City

Lincoln City have been one of the most improved sides in the league this season, and while they were beaten fairly comfortably by the Blues last time out, we feel they will bounce back with a solid performance in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 52.85%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 24.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.76%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Crawley TownDrawLincoln City
24.47% (1.986 1.99) 22.68% (0.996 1) 52.85% (-2.976 -2.98)
Both teams to score 58.89% (-0.993 -0.99)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.89% (-2.44 -2.44)41.11% (2.445 2.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.49% (-2.528 -2.53)63.51% (2.534 2.53)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.77% (0.316 0.32)30.23% (-0.31 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.6% (0.375 0.38)66.4% (-0.369 -0.37)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.4% (-1.809 -1.81)15.6% (1.814 1.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.42% (-3.474 -3.47)44.58% (3.48 3.48)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 24.47%
    Lincoln City 52.85%
    Draw 22.68%
Crawley TownDrawLincoln City
2-1 @ 6.27% (0.401 0.4)
1-0 @ 5.64% (0.648 0.65)
2-0 @ 3.37% (0.413 0.41)
3-1 @ 2.5% (0.18 0.18)
3-2 @ 2.32% (0.025 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.35% (0.175 0.18)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 24.47%
1-1 @ 10.48% (0.585 0.59)
2-2 @ 5.82% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.72% (0.506 0.51)
3-3 @ 1.44% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.68%
1-2 @ 9.74% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-1 @ 8.76% (0.419 0.42)
0-2 @ 8.14% (-0.127 -0.13)
1-3 @ 6.03% (-0.445 -0.45)
0-3 @ 5.04% (-0.42 -0.42)
2-3 @ 3.61% (-0.234 -0.23)
1-4 @ 2.8% (-0.408 -0.41)
0-4 @ 2.34% (-0.363 -0.36)
2-4 @ 1.68% (-0.227 -0.23)
1-5 @ 1.04% (-0.231 -0.23)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 52.85%

How you voted: Crawley vs Lincoln

Crawley Town
11.8%
Draw
8.8%
Lincoln City
79.4%
34
Head to Head
Mar 23, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 39
Crawley
0-3
Lincoln

Dallison (39')
Andrade (37'), McCartan (76'), Bolger (85')
Sep 8, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 7
Lincoln
0-1
Crawley

Bostwick (75')
Frecklington (55')
Bostwick (45' og.)
N'Gala (12'), Bulman (22'), Maguire (46'), Connolly (68'), Palmer (90')
Feb 17, 2018 3pm
Crawley
3-1
Lincoln
Smith (15'), Payne (68' pen.), Connolly (72')
Payne (48'), Roberts (68'), Yorwerth (85'), Randall (86')
Green (52')
Green (18'), Waterfall (45'), Wharton (67'), Woodyard (90')
Oct 28, 2017 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe15112235181735
2Wrexham1694325111431
3Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
4Birmingham CityBirmingham1493226151130
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield158252315826
6Barnsley167542420426
7Lincoln CityLincoln167542320326
8Reading158252422226
9Bolton WanderersBolton158252425-126
10Mansfield TownMansfield147342016424
11Exeter CityExeter157261413123
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
13Bristol Rovers166371721-421
14Charlton AthleticCharlton155461617-119
15Stevenage165471116-519
16Northampton TownNorthampton164661821-318
17Wigan AthleticWigan154561312117
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
19Blackpool164572230-817
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient154381418-415
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge153391324-1112
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion151591528-138


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