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AFC Wimbledon
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Carlisle United
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Walsall
Crawley Town
League Two | Gameweek 39
Mar 18, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Stockport County

Crawley
1 - 1
Stockport

Lolas (83')
Lindsey (21'), Orsi (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sarcevic (61')
Pye (20')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Crawley Town and Stockport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crawley 2-1 Notts County
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 2-2 Stockport
Thursday, March 14 at 8pm in League Two

We said: Crawley Town 1-1 Stockport County

Stockport have seen three of their last four matches finish all square, and we think that they will have to settle for another draw in Monday's tricky away clash with an in-form Crawley side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 45.18%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.3%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Crawley TownDrawStockport County
31.59% (-0.414 -0.41) 23.22% (0.229 0.23) 45.18% (0.187 0.19)
Both teams to score 62.78% (-1.057 -1.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.49% (-1.301 -1.3)38.5% (1.301 1.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.2% (-1.392 -1.39)60.79% (1.394 1.39)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.03% (-0.869 -0.87)23.96% (0.872 0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.8% (-1.258 -1.26)58.2% (1.26 1.26)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.56% (-0.44 -0.44)17.43% (0.441 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.11% (-0.77200000000001 -0.77)47.88% (0.774 0.77)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 31.59%
    Stockport County 45.18%
    Draw 23.22%
Crawley TownDrawStockport County
2-1 @ 7.45% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-0 @ 5.97% (0.216 0.22)
2-0 @ 4.26% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.55% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-2 @ 3.1% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-0 @ 2.03% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.27% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 31.59%
1-1 @ 10.42% (0.23 0.23)
2-2 @ 6.51% (-0.115 -0.12)
0-0 @ 4.18% (0.254 0.25)
3-3 @ 1.8% (-0.107 -0.11)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.22%
1-2 @ 9.11% (0.073 0.07)
0-1 @ 7.3% (0.342 0.34)
0-2 @ 6.37% (0.21 0.21)
1-3 @ 5.3% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.79% (-0.123 -0.12)
0-3 @ 3.71% (0.07 0.07)
1-4 @ 2.32% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.65% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.62% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 45.18%

How you voted: Crawley vs Stockport

Crawley Town
47.3%
Draw
16.4%
Stockport County
36.4%
110
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Stockport
3-3
Crawley
Barry (13'), Sarcevic (36'), Olaofe (89')
Powell (56')
Campbell (42'), Maguire (54'), Orsi (66')
Gladwin (38'), Orsi (56'), Lolas (71'), Henry (85'), Williams (90+1')
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Stockport
2-1
Crawley
Wootton (12', 51')
Powell (9')
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Crawley
3-2
Stockport
Tilley (5'), Telford (35'), Tsaroulla (56')
Crankshaw (17'), Hussey (52')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe199732416834
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham199282016429
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham207582728-126
14Bromley195952323024
15BarrowBarrow196581818023
16Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
17Fleetwood TownFleetwood175752322122
18Colchester UnitedColchester1941052322122
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington184682533-818
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714


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