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Crawley Town
League Two | Gameweek 39
Mar 18, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Stockport County

Crawley
1 - 1
Stockport

Lolas (83')
Lindsey (21'), Orsi (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sarcevic (61')
Pye (20')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Crawley Town and Stockport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crawley 2-1 Notts County
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 2-2 Stockport
Thursday, March 14 at 8pm in League Two

We said: Crawley Town 1-1 Stockport County

Stockport have seen three of their last four matches finish all square, and we think that they will have to settle for another draw in Monday's tricky away clash with an in-form Crawley side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 45.18%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.3%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Crawley TownDrawStockport County
31.59% (-0.414 -0.41) 23.22% (0.229 0.23) 45.18% (0.187 0.19)
Both teams to score 62.78% (-1.057 -1.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.49% (-1.301 -1.3)38.5% (1.301 1.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.2% (-1.392 -1.39)60.79% (1.394 1.39)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.03% (-0.869 -0.87)23.96% (0.872 0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.8% (-1.258 -1.26)58.2% (1.26 1.26)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.56% (-0.44 -0.44)17.43% (0.441 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.11% (-0.77200000000001 -0.77)47.88% (0.774 0.77)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 31.59%
    Stockport County 45.18%
    Draw 23.22%
Crawley TownDrawStockport County
2-1 @ 7.45% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-0 @ 5.97% (0.216 0.22)
2-0 @ 4.26% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.55% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-2 @ 3.1% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-0 @ 2.03% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.27% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 31.59%
1-1 @ 10.42% (0.23 0.23)
2-2 @ 6.51% (-0.115 -0.12)
0-0 @ 4.18% (0.254 0.25)
3-3 @ 1.8% (-0.107 -0.11)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.22%
1-2 @ 9.11% (0.073 0.07)
0-1 @ 7.3% (0.342 0.34)
0-2 @ 6.37% (0.21 0.21)
1-3 @ 5.3% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.79% (-0.123 -0.12)
0-3 @ 3.71% (0.07 0.07)
1-4 @ 2.32% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.65% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.62% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 45.18%

How you voted: Crawley vs Stockport

Crawley Town
47.3%
Draw
16.4%
Stockport County
36.4%
110
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Stockport
3-3
Crawley
Barry (13'), Sarcevic (36'), Olaofe (89')
Powell (56')
Campbell (42'), Maguire (54'), Orsi (66')
Gladwin (38'), Orsi (56'), Lolas (71'), Henry (85'), Williams (90+1')
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Stockport
2-1
Crawley
Wootton (12', 51')
Powell (9')
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Crawley
3-2
Stockport
Tilley (5'), Telford (35'), Tsaroulla (56')
Crankshaw (17'), Hussey (52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall24174348212755
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe251110433221143
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
17Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
20Swindon TownSwindon26510113141-1025
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2574142137-1625
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2467111837-1925
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918


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