MX23RW : Thursday, November 28 13:43:29| >> :300:86500:86500:
Defensa y Justicia
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Jun 4, 2024 at 1.15am UK
Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello
Independiente

Defensa
0 - 0
Independiente


Gutierrez (57'), Molinas (64'), Caceres (81'), Neves (86')
FT

Tarzia (15'), Avalos (40'), Fedorco (52'), Perez (54'), Neves (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Defensa y Justicia and Independiente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Independiente 1-1 Velez Sarsfield
Monday, May 27 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Defensa y Justicia 0-1 Independiente

Both teams are coming into this game having endured recent periods of uncertainty with changes to their manager, but Independiente's performances and results have been significantly better than the hosts, who have failed to win in over a month. In comparison, the visitors have won two and drawn one of their last three away matches, leading us to believe they will take the three points from this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 34.99%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.05%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Independiente win was 0-1 (12.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Defensa y JusticiaDrawIndependiente
34.99% (0.068999999999996 0.07) 30.08% (0.09 0.09) 34.93% (-0.16999999999999 -0.17)
Both teams to score 41.93% (-0.246 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.65% (-0.292 -0.29)65.34% (0.283 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.86% (-0.204 -0.2)84.13% (0.19500000000001 0.2)
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.78% (-0.11099999999999 -0.11)35.22% (0.101 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.02% (-0.113 -0.11)71.97% (0.104 0.1)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.73% (-0.274 -0.27)35.26% (0.26600000000001 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.98% (-0.284 -0.28)72.02% (0.27500000000001 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Defensa y Justicia 34.99%
    Independiente 34.92%
    Draw 30.06%
Defensa y JusticiaDrawIndependiente
1-0 @ 12.96% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 7.05% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.76% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.45% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.35% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.28% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 34.99%
1-1 @ 13.5%
0-0 @ 12.41% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 3.67% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 30.06%
0-1 @ 12.94% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.04% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-2 @ 6.75% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.45% (-0.035 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.34% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.28% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 34.92%

How you voted: Defensa vs Independiente

Defensa y Justicia
20.0%
Draw
70.0%
Independiente
10.0%
10
Head to Head
Feb 20, 2023 12.30am
Jul 20, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 9
Defensa
2-1
Independiente
Duarte (28'), Frias (64' pen.)
Duarte (33'), Gutierrez (51')
Gutierrez (78')
Vigo (90+1')
Marcone (13'), Romero (36'), Rodriguez (62'), Pozzo (64'), Fernandez (72'), Vigo (90+2')
Aug 21, 2021 1.15am
Apr 18, 2021 10pm
First Phase
Independiente
1-0
Defensa
Barreto (77')
Palacios (82')

Romero (18'), Pizzini (47'), Escalante (90+6')
Dec 6, 2020 10.10pm
Group Stage
Independiente
1-0
Defensa
Sonora (3')
Benavidez (24'), Costa (75'), Ignacio Pacchini (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield24129335152045
2HuracanHuracan241110327151243
3TalleresTalleres2411943124742
4Racing ClubRacing23124734221240
5River PlateRiver Plate2399531181336
6UnionUnion2410682625136
7Atletico TucumanTucuman2410682525036
8Boca Juniors249872823535
9IndependienteIndependiente2471252116533
10Instituto249692925433
11Platense248971817133
12Deportivo Riestra248972525033
13GimnasiaGimnasia248882120132
14EstudiantesEstudiantes2371062624231
15BelgranoBelgrano2471072828031
16Independiente Rivadavia248791924-531
17TigreTigre247982628-230
18Rosario CentralRosario247892523229
19Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2461172325-229
20LanusLanus2461172228-629
21San Lorenzo237791921-228
22Central CordobaC. Cordoba2477102631-528
23Defensa y JusticiaDefensa246992431-727
24Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2475121824-626
25Sarmiento2459101625-924
26Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2466121933-1424
27BanfieldBanfield2458112130-923
28Barracas Central2448121230-1820


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