MX23RW : Thursday, November 28 01:03:50| >> :120:7893:7893:
Europa League | League Stage
Oct 3, 2024 at 8pm UK
Boras Arena
Roma logo

Elfsborg
1 - 0
Roma

Baidoo (44' pen.)
Qasem (36'), Hult (52'), Zeneli (60')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Dybala (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Elfsborg and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kalmar 1-3 Elfsborg
Sunday, September 29 at 3.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Roma 2-1 Venezia
Sunday, September 29 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Elfsborg 1-2 Roma

While Roma are set to rest several players, they have sharpened up since changing manager and will still prove too strong for Elfsborg. Some bright attacking talent is available to Ivan Juric, so the Giallorossi will get off the mark with a first European win of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 41.73%. A win for Roma had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Elfsborg in this match.

Result
ElfsborgDrawRoma
41.73% (-1.296 -1.3) 25.34% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06) 32.93% (1.352 1.35)
Both teams to score 55.84% (0.7 0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.18% (0.682 0.68)47.82% (-0.684 -0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.99% (0.625 0.63)70.01% (-0.626 -0.63)
Elfsborg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.2% (-0.32899999999999 -0.33)22.8% (0.328 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.49% (-0.489 -0.49)56.51% (0.488 0.49)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.33% (1.21 1.21)27.66% (-1.211 -1.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.78% (1.527 1.53)63.21% (-1.528 -1.53)
Score Analysis
    Elfsborg 41.73%
    Roma 32.93%
    Draw 25.33%
ElfsborgDrawRoma
1-0 @ 9.32% (-0.362 -0.36)
2-1 @ 8.86% (-0.124 -0.12)
2-0 @ 6.89% (-0.338 -0.34)
3-1 @ 4.37% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-0 @ 3.4% (-0.201 -0.2)
3-2 @ 2.81% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.61% (-0.055 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.26% (-0.088 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 41.73%
1-1 @ 11.98% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.31% (-0.181 -0.18)
2-2 @ 5.69% (0.112 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.33%
0-1 @ 8.11% (0.045 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.7% (0.225 0.23)
0-2 @ 5.21% (0.202 0.2)
1-3 @ 3.3% (0.203 0.2)
2-3 @ 2.44% (0.128 0.13)
0-3 @ 2.23% (0.158 0.16)
1-4 @ 1.06% (0.099 0.1)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 32.93%

How you voted: Elfsborg vs Roma

Elfsborg
14.3%
Draw
15.5%
Roma
70.2%
161
rhs 2.0
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