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Serie A | Gameweek 6
Sep 29, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Fiorentina logo

Empoli
0 - 0
Fiorentina

FT

Comuzzo (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A derby between Empoli and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Torino 1-2 Empoli
Tuesday, September 24 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 Lazio
Sunday, September 22 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Empoli 1-2 Fiorentina

Empoli have defied all the odds to stay undefeated so far, and they should certainly pose Fiorentina some problems in the Derby dell'Arno. However, the Viola can spoil their Azzurri rivals' party by snatching maximum points, having gained confidence from winning last week. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.31%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 26.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.88%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
EmpoliDrawFiorentina
26.47% (-0.952 -0.95) 26.22% (-0.149 -0.15) 47.31% (1.109 1.11)
Both teams to score 49.46% (-0.263 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)54.44% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.2% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)75.8% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.24% (-0.779 -0.78)35.76% (0.78400000000001 0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.47% (-0.81 -0.81)72.53% (0.81500000000001 0.82)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.99% (0.51899999999999 0.52)23.01% (-0.513 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.19% (0.753 0.75)56.81% (-0.746 -0.75)
Score Analysis
    Empoli 26.47%
    Fiorentina 47.3%
    Draw 26.22%
EmpoliDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 8.46% (-0.182 -0.18)
2-1 @ 6.39% (-0.178 -0.18)
2-0 @ 4.35% (-0.189 -0.19)
3-1 @ 2.19% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-2 @ 1.61% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.49% (-0.099 -0.1)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 26.47%
1-1 @ 12.43% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 8.23% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-2 @ 4.7% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 26.22%
0-1 @ 12.08% (0.18 0.18)
1-2 @ 9.13% (0.081999999999999 0.08)
0-2 @ 8.88% (0.265 0.27)
1-3 @ 4.47% (0.108 0.11)
0-3 @ 4.35% (0.194 0.19)
2-3 @ 2.3% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.64% (0.063 0.06)
0-4 @ 1.6% (0.094 0.09)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 47.3%

How you voted: Empoli vs Fiorentina

Empoli
37.2%
Draw
25.5%
Fiorentina
37.2%
94
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 25
Empoli
1-1
Fiorentina
Niang (56' pen.)
Gyasi (1'), Luperto (45+4'), Zurkowski (73')
Beltran (29')
Biraghi (70'), Beltran (82')
Oct 23, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Fiorentina
0-2
Empoli

Beltran (77')
Caputo (21'), Gyasi (81')
Walukiewicz (52'), Cancellieri (71'), Fazzini (79')
Feb 19, 2023 2pm
Aug 21, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 2
Empoli
0-0
Fiorentina
Bandinelli (32')
Luperto (67'), Zanetti (90+10')
Ikone (37'), Maleh (40'), Sottil (73')
Apr 3, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 31
Fiorentina
1-0
Empoli
Gonzalez (58')
Torreira (56')

Luperto (45+3'), Ismajli (81')
Luperto (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli23173338162254
2Inter Milan22156156193751
3Atalanta BCAtalanta23145449262347
4Juventus23913139201940
5Fiorentina22116537231439
6Lazio2212373830839
7Bologna2291033527837
8AC Milan229853324935
9Roma238783429531
10Udinese2385102836-829
11Torino236982427-327
12Genoa236892132-1126
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2372142648-2223
14Lecce2365121841-2323
15Como2357112738-1122
16Empoli2349102233-1121
17CagliariCagliari2256112336-1321
18Parma2348112942-1320
19VeneziaVenezia2337132238-1616
20Monza2327142034-1413


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