Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.31%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 26.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.88%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Empoli | Draw | Fiorentina |
26.47% ( -0.95) | 26.22% ( -0.15) | 47.31% ( 1.11) |
Both teams to score 49.46% ( -0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.57% ( 0.01) | 54.44% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.2% ( 0.01) | 75.8% ( 0) |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.24% ( -0.78) | 35.76% ( 0.78) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.47% ( -0.81) | 72.53% ( 0.82) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.99% ( 0.52) | 23.01% ( -0.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.19% ( 0.75) | 56.81% ( -0.75) |
Score Analysis |
Empoli | Draw | Fiorentina |
1-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 6.39% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.1) Other @ 1.97% Total : 26.47% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 8.23% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.22% | 0-1 @ 12.08% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 9.13% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 8.88% ( 0.27) 1-3 @ 4.47% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 4.35% ( 0.19) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.85% Total : 47.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 19 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 30 | 12 | 18 | 44 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 41 |
3 | Inter Milan | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 45 | 15 | 30 | 40 |
4 | Lazio | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 33 | 25 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Juventus | 18 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 32 |
6 | Fiorentina | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 32 |
7 | Bologna | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
9 | Udinese | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
10 | Roma | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 20 |
11 | Empoli | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 20 |
12 | Torino | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 20 |
13 | Genoa | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 19 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 19 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 24 | 42 | -18 | 19 |
15 | Parma | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 18 |
16 | Como | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 18 |
17 | Lecce | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 16 |
18 | VeneziaVenezia | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 14 |
19 | CagliariCagliari | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 10 |
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