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Serie A | Gameweek 5
Sep 22, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Comunale Gino Bozzi
Lazio logo

Fiorentina
2 - 1
Lazio

Gudmundsson (49' pen., 90' pen.)
Gosens (11'), Biraghi (42'), Dodo (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gila (41')
Isaksen (26'), Patric (85'), Guendouzi (89'), Tavares (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atalanta 3-2 Fiorentina
Sunday, September 15 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 2-1 Hellas Verona
Monday, September 16 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Fiorentina 2-2 Lazio

Fiorentina will have to wait for their first win, as Lazio have started the season well and are more than capable of breaching their hosts' defence. The spoils may be shared at Stadio Franchi, which would suit the visitors much more than the Viola. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 51.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 23.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawLazio
51.74% (0.40199999999999 0.4) 24.51% (0.082000000000001 0.08) 23.75% (-0.482 -0.48)
Both teams to score 52.04% (-0.788 -0.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.21% (-0.783 -0.78)49.79% (0.786 0.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.21% (-0.704 -0.7)71.79% (0.706 0.71)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.77% (-0.143 -0.14)19.22% (0.145 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.07% (-0.239 -0.24)50.92% (0.241 0.24)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.43% (-0.858 -0.86)35.57% (0.861 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.66% (-0.895 -0.9)72.34% (0.90000000000001 0.9)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 51.74%
    Lazio 23.75%
    Draw 24.5%
FiorentinaDrawLazio
1-0 @ 11.27% (0.3 0.3)
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.3% (0.211 0.21)
3-1 @ 5.28% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.11% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.079 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.18% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.11% (0.029 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 51.74%
1-1 @ 11.65% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.84% (0.216 0.22)
2-2 @ 4.97% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.5%
0-1 @ 7.07% (0.061 0.06)
1-2 @ 6.02% (-0.118 -0.12)
0-2 @ 3.65% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.08% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.71% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.26% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 23.75%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Lazio

Fiorentina
36.8%
Draw
34.7%
Lazio
28.4%
95
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Fiorentina
2-1
Lazio
Kayode (61'), Bonaventura (69')
Alberto (45')
Guendouzi (67'), Vecino (88')
Oct 30, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Lazio
1-0
Fiorentina
Immobile (90+5' pen.)
Lazzari (31'), Rovella (45+2'), Sarri (60'), Zaccagni (66')

Duncan (40'), Ikone (45+2'), Bonaventura (55')
Jan 29, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 20
Lazio
1-1
Fiorentina
Casale (8')
Gonzalez (49')
Oct 10, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Fiorentina
0-4
Lazio
Vecino (11'), Zaccagni (25'), Alberto (85'), Immobile (90+1')
Feb 5, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Fiorentina
0-3
Lazio

Bonaventura (50'), Torreira (55')
Torreira (85')
Milinkovic-Savic (52'), Immobile (70'), Biraghi (81' og.)
Leiva (30'), Pedro (45+1'), Lazzari (67'), Patric (83'), Strakosha (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli7511145916
2Inter Milan7421169714
3Udinese74121010013
4Juventus7340101913
5Lazio74121411313
6AC Milan7322159611
7Torino73221211111
8Atalanta BCAtalanta73131613310
9Empoli724164210
10Fiorentina724198110
11Roma724185310
12Hellas VeronaHellas Verona7304121209
13Bologna715179-28
14Como72231014-48
15CagliariCagliari7133511-66
16Parma71331012-26
17Lecce7124312-95
18Genoa7124515-105
19Monza704359-44
20VeneziaVenezia7115512-74


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