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Serie A
Fiorentina logo
Serie A | Gameweek 5
Sep 22, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Comunale Gino Bozzi
Lazio logo

Fiorentina
2 - 1
Lazio

Gudmundsson (49' pen., 90' pen.)
Gosens (11'), Biraghi (42'), Dodo (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gila (41')
Isaksen (26'), Patric (85'), Guendouzi (89'), Tavares (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 3-2 Fiorentina
Sunday, September 15 at 2pm in Serie A

Lazio

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 2-1 Hellas Verona
Monday, September 16 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Fiorentina 2-2 Lazio

 Fiorentina will have to wait for their first win, as Lazio have started the season well and are more than capable of breaching their hosts' defence. The spoils may be shared at Stadio Franchi, which would suit the visitors much more than the Viola. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 51.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 23.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawLazio
51.74% (0.40199999999999 0.4) 24.51% (0.082000000000001 0.08) 23.75% (-0.482 -0.48)
Both teams to score 52.04% (-0.788 -0.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.21% (-0.783 -0.78)49.79% (0.786 0.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.21% (-0.704 -0.7)71.79% (0.706 0.71)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.77% (-0.143 -0.14)19.22% (0.145 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.07% (-0.239 -0.24)50.92% (0.241 0.24)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.43% (-0.858 -0.86)35.57% (0.861 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.66% (-0.895 -0.9)72.34% (0.90000000000001 0.9)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 51.74%
    Lazio 23.75%
    Draw 24.5%
FiorentinaDrawLazio
1-0 @ 11.27% (0.3 0.3)
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.3% (0.211 0.21)
3-1 @ 5.28% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.11% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.079 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.18% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.11% (0.029 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 51.74%
1-1 @ 11.65% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.84% (0.216 0.22)
2-2 @ 4.97% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.5%
0-1 @ 7.07% (0.061 0.06)
1-2 @ 6.02% (-0.118 -0.12)
0-2 @ 3.65% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.08% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.71% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.26% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 23.75%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Lazio

Fiorentina
36.8%
Draw
34.7%
Lazio
28.4%
95
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Fiorentina
2-1
Lazio
Kayode (61'), Bonaventura (69')
Alberto (45')
Guendouzi (67'), Vecino (88')
> Preview
Oct 30, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Lazio
1-0
Fiorentina
Immobile (90+5' pen.)
Lazzari (31'), Rovella (45+2'), Sarri (60'), Zaccagni (66')

Duncan (40'), Ikone (45+2'), Bonaventura (55')
> Preview
Jan 29, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 20
Lazio
1-1
Fiorentina
Casale (8')
Gonzalez (49')
> Preview
Oct 10, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Fiorentina
0-4
Lazio
Vecino (11'), Zaccagni (25'), Alberto (85'), Immobile (90+1')
> Preview
Feb 5, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Fiorentina
0-3
Lazio

Bonaventura (50'), Torreira (55')
Torreira (85')
Milinkovic-Savic (52'), Immobile (70'), Biraghi (81' og.)
Leiva (30'), Pedro (45+1'), Lazzari (67'), Patric (83'), Strakosha (85')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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