Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 47.98%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Espanyol | Draw | Osasuna |
47.98% ( 0.46) | 26.52% ( -0.27) | 25.5% ( -0.19) |
Both teams to score 47.84% ( 0.62) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.85% ( 0.88) | 56.15% ( -0.88) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.79% ( 0.71) | 77.21% ( -0.71) |
Espanyol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.57% ( 0.59) | 23.43% ( -0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.56% ( 0.86) | 57.43% ( -0.86) |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.48% ( 0.32) | 37.52% ( -0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.7% ( 0.31) | 74.3% ( -0.32) |
Score Analysis |
Espanyol | Draw | Osasuna |
1-0 @ 12.75% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.39% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.67% Total : 47.98% | 1-1 @ 12.5% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 8.79% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.77% Total : 26.51% | 0-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.69% Total : 25.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 46 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 44 |
3 | Barcelona | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 39 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 39 |
5 | Villarreal | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 31 | 7 | 33 |
6 | Mallorca | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 28 |
8 | GironaGirona | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 28 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 26 |
10 | Osasuna | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 26 |
11 | Sevilla | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
12 | Real BetisBetis | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 24 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 22 |
16 | Getafe | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 20 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
18 | Espanyol | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 19 |
19 | Valencia | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 39 | -25 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |