Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 23, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi (La Plata, Provincia de Buenos Aires)
Estudiantes0 - 1Gremio
Palacios (23'), Perez (59')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ribeiro (75')
Cristaldo (32'), Galdino (36'), Villasanti (45+2'), Marchesin (68'), Pedro (69'), Da Silva (90')
Villasanti (66')
Cristaldo (32'), Galdino (36'), Villasanti (45+2'), Marchesin (68'), Pedro (69'), Da Silva (90')
Villasanti (66')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Estudiantes and Gremio.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Estudiantes 3-0 Barracas Central
Saturday, April 20 at 10.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, April 20 at 10.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Gremio 1-0 Cuiaba
Saturday, April 20 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, April 20 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 53.25%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Gremio had a probability of 22.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Gremio win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Estudiantes | Draw | Gremio |
53.25% ( -0.13) | 24.71% ( 0.04) | 22.05% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 49.43% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.76% ( -0.06) | 52.24% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.06% ( -0.05) | 73.94% ( 0.06) |
Estudiantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.42% ( -0.08) | 19.58% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.5% ( -0.13) | 51.51% ( 0.13) |
Gremio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.46% ( 0.06) | 38.54% ( -0.05) |