Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 38.37%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 35.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.