Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 37.21%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 34.37% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.79%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 1-0 (11.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.