Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 53.34%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 21.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Arouca |
53.34% ( -0.65) | 24.97% ( 0.27) | 21.69% ( 0.38) |
Both teams to score 48.2% ( -0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.37% ( -0.63) | 53.63% ( 0.63) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.87% ( -0.53) | 75.13% ( 0.53) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.92% ( -0.5) | 20.08% ( 0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.67% ( -0.82) | 52.33% ( 0.82) |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.32% ( 0.03) | 39.68% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.64% ( 0.03) | 76.36% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Arouca |
1-0 @ 12.79% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 10.26% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 5.49% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 2.04% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.68% Total : 53.33% | 1-1 @ 11.82% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.79% Total : 24.97% | 0-1 @ 7.37% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.37% Total : 21.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 34 | 41 |
2 | Porto | 16 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 40 |
3 | Benfica | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 11 | 27 | 38 |
4 | Braga | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 31 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 31 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Casa Pia | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 24 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 22 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 18 |
13 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 16 |
14 | AVS | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
15 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 15 |
16 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 14 |
17 | Nacional | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 13 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
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