Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 45.1%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 27.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.9%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Arouca |
45.1% | 27.75% | 27.14% |
Both teams to score 45.67% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.43% | 59.56% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.09% | 79.91% |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.65% | 26.35% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.5% | 61.49% |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.01% | 37.99% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.24% | 74.76% |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Arouca |
1-0 @ 13.35% 2-0 @ 8.9% 2-1 @ 8.62% 3-0 @ 3.96% 3-1 @ 3.83% 3-2 @ 1.85% 4-0 @ 1.32% 4-1 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.99% Total : 45.1% | 1-1 @ 12.92% 0-0 @ 10.01% 2-2 @ 4.17% Other @ 0.65% Total : 27.75% | 0-1 @ 9.69% 1-2 @ 6.25% 0-2 @ 4.69% 1-3 @ 2.02% 0-3 @ 1.51% 2-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 1.64% Total : 27.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 87 | 27 | 60 | 80 |
2 | Benfica | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 68 | 24 | 44 | 73 |
3 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 55 | 24 | 31 | 62 |
4 | Braga | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 57 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 43 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 36 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
10 | Casa Pia | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 32 |
11 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 31 |
13 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 30 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 30 | 62 | -32 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 29 | 62 | -33 | 21 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |