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FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
Nov 26, 2023 at 1am UK
Nippert Stadium
Philadelphia Union

Cincinnati
1 - 0
Philadelphia

Mosquera (90+4')
Gaddis (30'), Boupendza (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Lowe (11'), Carranza (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 1-1 Cincinnati (8-7 pen.)
Saturday, November 4 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 0-1 Philadelphia
Thursday, November 9 at 12am in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 2-0 Philadelphia Union

Both teams will be without some key pieces to their lineup, but the overall depth of Cincy and the individual genius of Acosta has us leaning towards the Supporters' Shield winners getting the job done.

How to watch

You can watch FC Cincinnati vs. Philadelphia Union and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 50.83%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 26.2% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawPhiladelphia Union
50.83% (-0.415 -0.41) 22.97% (0.127 0.13) 26.2% (0.284 0.28)
Both teams to score 59.69% (-0.174 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.13% (-0.357 -0.36)40.86% (0.354 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.74% (-0.363 -0.36)63.25% (0.36 0.36)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.78% (-0.27799999999999 -0.28)16.22% (0.276 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.28% (-0.50599999999999 -0.51)45.71% (0.503 0.5)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.24% (0.027000000000001 0.03)28.75% (-0.029999999999998 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.4% (0.033000000000001 0.03)64.59% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 50.83%
    Philadelphia Union 26.2%
    Draw 22.97%
FC CincinnatiDrawPhiladelphia Union
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.48% (0.057 0.06)
2-0 @ 7.72% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.83% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-0 @ 4.68% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.63% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.65% (-0.055 -0.05)
4-0 @ 2.13% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.65% (-0.033 -0.03)
5-1 @ 0.97% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 50.83%
1-1 @ 10.57% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.99% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.66% (0.074 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.51% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.97%
1-2 @ 6.59% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
0-1 @ 5.81% (0.098 0.1)
0-2 @ 3.62% (0.064 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.74% (0.025 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.49% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.51% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 26.2%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs Philadelphia

FC Cincinnati
47.1%
Draw
29.4%
Philadelphia Union
23.5%
17
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2023 12.30am
Philadelphia
2-2
Cincinnati
Andres Martinez (23'), Gazdag (37' pen.)
Elliott (19'), Gazdag (21'), Lowe (42'), Carranza (63'), Wagner (74'), Baribo (85')
Elliott (90+4')
Boupendza (49'), Vazquez (76')
Miazga (18'), Celentano (35'), Mosquera (36'), Hagglund (45+4')
Mosquera (83')
Apr 9, 2023 12.30am
Oct 21, 2022 1am
Conference Semi-Finals
Philadelphia
1-0
Cincinnati
Flach (59')
Aug 7, 2022 12.30am
Jun 19, 2022 12.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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