We said: New England Revolution 1-2 Philadelphia Union
New England have struggled massively with keeping the ball out of their net in recent matches, and it is hard to see Peay's men changing their ways against a Philadelphia side who arrive at Gillette Stadium in good form.
The Union's goalless draw with Nashville was labelled 'boring' by some supporters, however a Decision Day meeting with the Revs should provide some considerable attacking entertainment.
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Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 43.63%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 32.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for New England Revolution in this match.