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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 9
Oct 31, 2024 at 6pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Al Ittihad
1 - 0
Al-Ahli

Al-Shehri (42')
Al Amri (50')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Al-Asmari (64'), Ibanez (90+2'), Kessie (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Ittihad and Al-Ahli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Ittihad

All competitions
Last Game: Al Riyadh 0-1 Al Ittihad
Thursday, October 24 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

Al-Ahli

All competitions
Last Game: Al-Ahli 1-1 Al Okhdood
Friday, October 25 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al Ittihad 2-1 Al-Ahli

 Enjoying an excellent winning run, Al Ittihad will be confident of strengthening their case for the Saudi Arabian crown with maximum points on Thursday night. Al-Ahli were frustratingly held by a relegation-threatened outfit last time out, meaning that the visitors in Jeddah could struggle this time around. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 43.58%. A win for Al-Ahli had a probability of 32.46% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.94%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Al-Ahli win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ittihad would win this match.

Result
Al IttihadDrawAl-Ahli
43.58%23.96% (0.014999999999997 0.01) 32.46% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 60.49% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.33% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)41.68% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.92% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)64.08% (0.077999999999996 0.08)
Al Ittihad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.64% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)19.37% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.84% (-0.052 -0.05)51.16% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.02% (-0.044999999999987 -0.04)24.98% (0.046000000000003 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.37% (-0.061 -0.06)59.63% (0.062000000000005 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Al Ittihad 43.58%
    Al-Ahli 32.46%
    Draw 23.95%
Al IttihadDrawAl-Ahli
2-1 @ 9.04% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 7.94% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.52% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.95% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 3.57% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.43% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.03% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.46% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.41% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 43.58%
1-1 @ 11.01% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.27% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.84% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.59% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.95%
1-2 @ 7.64% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 6.71% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.65% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.53% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.9% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.23% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 32.46%

How you voted: Al Ittihad vs Al-Ahli

Al Ittihad
78.1%
Draw
12.5%
Al-Ahli
9.4%
64
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 26
Al-Ahli
1-0
Al Ittihad
Albirakan (34')
Al-Asmari (6'), Majrashi (79')

Al-Amri (79'), Al-Sagour (90')
> Preview
Oct 6, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 9
Al Ittihad
0-1
Al-Ahli

Fabinho (35'), Coronado (75')
Kessie (31')
Jaissle (36'), Mendy (61'), Mahrez (70'), Veiga (86'), Aljohani (90+3')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al Ittihad1312013292336
2Al-HilalAl-Hilal13111134142034
3Al Quadisiya139131981128
4Al-Nassr1374225121325
5Al-AhliAl-Ahli137242011923
6Al ShababAl Shabab137241811723
7Al Riyadh136341616021
8Al Khaleej136161617-119
9Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun135351414018
10Damac134362023-315
11Al Ettifaq134361120-915
12Al RaedAl Raed134271820-214
13Al Orubah134181125-1413
14Al Okhdood133371619-312
15Al Kholood132471525-1010
16Al WahdaAl Wahda132381731-149
17Al Fayha13157923-148
18Al Fateh131391124-136
> Saudi Pro League Full Table


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