MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 18:20:37| >> :600:3374407:3374407:
Braga
Taca da Liga | Quarter-Finals
Oct 31, 2024 at 6.45pm UK
Estadio AXA
Vitoria de Guimaraes

Braga
2 - 1
Guimaraes

Niakate (22'), Bruma (75' pen.)
Ferreira (41'), Zalazar (52')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Santos (10')
Handel (13'), Charles (18'), Borevkovic (45'), Villanueva (63'), Oliveira Baio (77')
Borevkovic (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Taca da Liga clash between Braga and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions
Last Game: Braga 2-0 Farense
Sunday, October 27 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 2-2 Guimaraes
Sunday, October 27 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Braga 1-1 Guimaraes (Guimaraes win on pens)

 Braga have only won two of their last five home games against Guimaraes, and lost against them here last month, so it is set to be a close encounter at the Quarry. Facing the holders to begin your campaign is never favourable, but the visitors will feel they are certainly capable of making it to the semi-finals of a competition where they have frequently underperformed, given their strong cup form so far this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 50.95%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 25.22% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
BragaDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
50.95% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07) 23.83% (0.045999999999999 0.05) 25.22% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 55.8% (-0.128 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.43% (-0.182 -0.18)45.57% (0.18 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.11% (-0.172 -0.17)67.89% (0.17099999999999 0.17)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.08% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)17.92% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.27% (-0.169 -0.17)48.73% (0.16699999999999 0.17)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.99% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)32.01% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.52% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)68.48% (0.084999999999994 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Braga 50.95%
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 25.22%
    Draw 23.82%
BragaDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 9.86% (0.045 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.66% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.48% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.54% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.86% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.15% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.38% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.09% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 50.95%
1-1 @ 11.23% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.74% (0.044 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.5% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.82%
0-1 @ 6.53% (0.037 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.72% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.43% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.41% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 25.22%

How you voted: Braga vs Guimaraes

Braga
63.8%
Draw
15.9%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
20.3%
69
Head to Head
Sep 15, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 5
Braga
0-2
Guimaraes

Zalazar (37'), Niakate (71'), Ferreira (79')
Arrey-Mbi (56')
Mendes (52'), Ribeiro (59')
Santos (17'), Oliveira (57'), Mendes (74')
> Preview
May 11, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 33
Guimaraes
2-3
Braga
Gaspar (10'), Mangas (80')
Charles (25'), Gaspar (50'), Andre (69'), Santos (83')
Bruma (24'), Horta (75'), Lopes (90+3')
Fonte (38'), Niakate (83'), Lopes (90+4')
> Preview
Jan 6, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 16
Braga
1-1
Guimaraes
Carvalho (53')
Horta (70'), Carvalho (83')
Mendes (90+8')
> Preview
Feb 27, 2023 9.15pm
Gameweek 22
Guimaraes
2-1
Braga
Silva (31' pen.), Safira (41')
Djalo (88')
> Preview
Jan 11, 2023 6.45pm
Round of 16
Braga
3-2
Guimaraes
Ruiz (80', 85'), Oliveira (83')
Silva (16'), Silva (45+6')
rhs 2.0
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