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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer
Oct 28, 2023 at 10pm UK
Subaru Park
New England Revolution

Philadelphia
3 - 1
New England

Gazdag (19' pen.), Uhre (26'), Harriel (37')
Andres Martinez (87')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Bou (68')
Wood (29'), Farrell (35'), Chancalay (37'), Vrioni (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Last Game: New England 2-1 Philadelphia
Saturday, October 21 at 11pm in Major League Soccer

New England Revolution

All competitions
Last Game: New England 2-1 Philadelphia
Saturday, October 21 at 11pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Philadelphia Union 2-1 New England Revolution

 The Union were unbeaten in 16 of their 17 MLS home contests this season, conceding just 13 goals over that stretch, and they are more than accustomed to handling these pressure situations. New England may have won their previous playoff matchup at Subaru Park (1-0 in 2020), but they leave too many gaps in behind, which the home side should be able to exploit.

How to watch

You can watch Philadelphia Union vs. New England Revolution and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 56%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 21.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawNew England Revolution
56% (1.084 1.08) 22.62% (0.289 0.29) 21.38% (-1.366 -1.37)
Both teams to score 55.07% (-2.896 -2.9)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.69% (-2.937 -2.94)44.31% (2.945 2.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.32% (-2.915 -2.92)66.69% (2.922 2.92)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.35% (-0.65600000000001 -0.66)15.66% (0.663 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.32% (-1.233 -1.23)44.69% (1.241 1.24)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.29% (-2.896 -2.9)34.72% (2.903 2.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.56% (-3.191 -3.19)71.45% (3.198 3.2)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 55.99%
    New England Revolution 21.38%
    Draw 22.62%
Philadelphia UnionDrawNew England Revolution
1-0 @ 10.07% (1.019 1.02)
2-1 @ 9.89% (0.050999999999998 0.05)
2-0 @ 9.34% (0.757 0.76)
3-1 @ 6.11% (-0.11 -0.11)
3-0 @ 5.78% (0.345 0.35)
3-2 @ 3.23% (-0.33 -0.33)
4-1 @ 2.83% (-0.118 -0.12)
4-0 @ 2.68% (0.101 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.5% (-0.191 -0.19)
5-1 @ 1.05% (-0.069 -0.07)
5-0 @ 0.99% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 55.99%
1-1 @ 10.66% (0.3 0.3)
0-0 @ 5.44% (0.665 0.67)
2-2 @ 5.23% (-0.402 -0.4)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.22 -0.22)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.62%
0-1 @ 5.75% (0.287 0.29)
1-2 @ 5.64% (-0.297 -0.3)
0-2 @ 3.04% (-0.087 -0.09)
1-3 @ 1.99% (-0.277 -0.28)
2-3 @ 1.84% (-0.306 -0.31)
0-3 @ 1.07% (-0.121 -0.12)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 21.38%

How you voted: Philadelphia vs New England

Philadelphia Union
83.3%
Draw
16.7%
New England Revolution
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 11pm
New England
2-1
Philadelphia
Bou (25' pen., 41')
Carranza (16')
Harriel (7'), Lowe (23'), Wagner (24'), Carranza (90+2')
> Preview
May 21, 2023 12.30am
Philadelphia
3-0
New England
Gazdag (56', 74' pen.), Carranza (88')
Real (90+3')

Blessing (4'), Wood (45'), Gil (73'), Altidore (84'), Romney (90')
> Preview
Jul 17, 2022 12.30am
Philadelphia
2-1
New England
Uhre (75'), Gazdag (79' pen.)
Bedoya (90+4')
Bou (61')
> Preview
May 29, 2022 12.30am
New England
1-1
Philadelphia
> Preview
Sep 4, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 32
Philadelphia
0-1
New England
Harriel (33'), Bedoya (71'), Sullivan (77'), Fontana (80'), Aaronson (89')
Ingvi Traustason (55'), Kessler (90+3')
Ingvi Traustason (59')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1594236201631
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati149321911830
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146532521423
4New York City FCNY City147251816223
5Toronto147162120122
6Columbus Crew135621913621
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC146351413121
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia134542521417
9DC United144552024-417
10Orlando City134451520-516
11Nashville SCNashville133641720-315
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta133461716113
13CF MontrealMontreal133371731-1412
14Chicago Fire142481326-1310
15New England RevolutionNew England12219925-167

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1484227141328
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd127322114724
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy145722521422
4Austin FCAustin146441917222
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
6Colorado RapidsColorado146352423121
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver135441915419
8Houston DynamoHouston135351213-118
9St Louis City133731920-116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle143561617-114
11Portland TimbersPortland143472629-313
12Dallas123361317-412
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas132562124-311
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1431102233-1110
> Full Version


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