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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
FC Utrecht
Eredivisie | Gameweek 28
Apr 3, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stadion Galgenwaard
PEC Zwolle

Utrecht
5 - 1
PEC Zwolle

Lammers (47'), Toornstra (49'), Lidberg (77', 79'), Blake (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Thy (60')
van den Berg (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Eredivisie clash between FC Utrecht and PEC Zwolle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Utrecht

All competitions
Last Game: Feyenoord 4-2 Utrecht
Sunday, March 31 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

PEC Zwolle

All competitions
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-3 Ajax
Sunday, March 31 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

We said: FC Utrecht 2-0 PEC Zwolle

 After threatening a shock victory in the opening stages at Feyenoord, Utrecht should be confident of earning maximum points versus an out-of-form Zwolle outfit. The Blauwvingers are stumbling towards trouble, and we feel that Jansen's woes in the PEC hotseat will continue on Wednesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 65.09%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 16.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 1-0 (7.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.26%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.

Result
FC UtrechtDrawPEC Zwolle
65.09% (1.705 1.7) 18.55% (-0.321 -0.32) 16.36% (-1.381 -1.38)
Both teams to score 60.13% (-1.911 -1.91)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.68% (-1.076 -1.08)33.32% (1.079 1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.91% (-1.243 -1.24)55.09% (1.245 1.25)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.36% (0.104 0.1)9.64% (-0.101 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.8% (0.238 0.24)32.19% (-0.235 -0.23)
PEC Zwolle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.55% (-2.192 -2.19)33.45% (2.194 2.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.92% (-2.472 -2.47)70.08% (2.474 2.47)
Score Analysis
    FC Utrecht 65.09%
    PEC Zwolle 16.36%
    Draw 18.55%
FC UtrechtDrawPEC Zwolle
2-1 @ 9.66% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 8.82% (0.566 0.57)
1-0 @ 7.54% (0.453 0.45)
3-1 @ 7.53% (0.08 0.08)
3-0 @ 6.88% (0.47 0.47)
4-1 @ 4.41% (0.066 0.07)
3-2 @ 4.13% (-0.209 -0.21)
4-0 @ 4.02% (0.292 0.29)
4-2 @ 2.41% (-0.111 -0.11)
5-1 @ 2.06% (0.04 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.88% (0.144 0.14)
5-2 @ 1.13% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 4.62%
Total : 65.09%
1-1 @ 8.26% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.29% (-0.293 -0.29)
0-0 @ 3.23% (0.18 0.18)
3-3 @ 1.51% (-0.174 -0.17)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 18.55%
1-2 @ 4.52% (-0.271 -0.27)
0-1 @ 3.53% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.93% (-0.125 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.233 -0.23)
1-3 @ 1.65% (-0.208 -0.21)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 16.36%

How you voted: Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle

FC Utrecht
79.2%
Draw
15.1%
PEC Zwolle
5.7%
53
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2023 11.15am
Gameweek 3
PEC Zwolle
1-0
Utrecht
Druijf (69' pen.)
Lam (39'), van den Berg (76')

Azarkan (34'), Seuntjens (48'), Viergever (84')
> Preview
May 7, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 29
PEC Zwolle
1-1
Utrecht
Redan (74')
Ter Avest (29')
> Preview
Sep 25, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 7
Utrecht
5-1
PEC Zwolle
Douvikas (11' pen.), Sylla (59'), Ramselaar (65' pen.), Mahi (66'), Janssen (86')
Saymak (75')
Strieder (64')
> Preview
Jan 30, 2021 5.45pm
Gameweek 20
Utrecht
3-3
PEC Zwolle
Van de Streek (2'), Maher (53' pen.), Ter Avest (90+6')
Boussaid (73'), Balk (90+3')
Misidjan (4'), Lam (39' pen.), Buitink (67')
van Polen (90+3')
> Preview
Nov 21, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 9
PEC Zwolle
1-1
Utrecht
Warmerdam (32' og.)
Paal (21'), Huiberts (54'), Lam (84')
Mahi (59')
St Jago (17'), Gustafson (85'), Elia (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV17150259134645
2Ajax17123237162139
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1711333428636
4Feyenoord17105240211935
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard177462525025
9Willem II176472119222
10NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
11Heerenveen176381731-1421
12NECNijmegen1752102324-117
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta172691426-1212
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237
> Eredivisie Full Table


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