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Serie A
Fiorentina logo
Serie A | Gameweek 5
Sep 22, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Comunale Gino Bozzi
Lazio logo

Fiorentina
2 - 1
Lazio

Gudmundsson (49' pen., 90' pen.)
Gosens (11'), Biraghi (42'), Dodo (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gila (41')
Isaksen (26'), Patric (85'), Guendouzi (89'), Tavares (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 3-2 Fiorentina
Sunday, September 15 at 2pm in Serie A

Lazio

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 2-1 Hellas Verona
Monday, September 16 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Fiorentina 2-2 Lazio

 Fiorentina will have to wait for their first win, as Lazio have started the season well and are more than capable of breaching their hosts' defence. The spoils may be shared at Stadio Franchi, which would suit the visitors much more than the Viola. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 51.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 23.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawLazio
51.74% (0.40199999999999 0.4) 24.51% (0.082000000000001 0.08) 23.75% (-0.482 -0.48)
Both teams to score 52.04% (-0.788 -0.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.21% (-0.783 -0.78)49.79% (0.786 0.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.21% (-0.704 -0.7)71.79% (0.706 0.71)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.77% (-0.143 -0.14)19.22% (0.145 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.07% (-0.239 -0.24)50.92% (0.241 0.24)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.43% (-0.858 -0.86)35.57% (0.861 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.66% (-0.895 -0.9)72.34% (0.90000000000001 0.9)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 51.74%
    Lazio 23.75%
    Draw 24.5%
FiorentinaDrawLazio
1-0 @ 11.27% (0.3 0.3)
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.3% (0.211 0.21)
3-1 @ 5.28% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.11% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.079 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.18% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.11% (0.029 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 51.74%
1-1 @ 11.65% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.84% (0.216 0.22)
2-2 @ 4.97% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.5%
0-1 @ 7.07% (0.061 0.06)
1-2 @ 6.02% (-0.118 -0.12)
0-2 @ 3.65% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.08% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.71% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.26% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 23.75%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Lazio

Fiorentina
36.8%
Draw
34.7%
Lazio
28.4%
95
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Fiorentina
2-1
Lazio
Kayode (61'), Bonaventura (69')
Alberto (45')
Guendouzi (67'), Vecino (88')
> Preview
Oct 30, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Lazio
1-0
Fiorentina
Immobile (90+5' pen.)
Lazzari (31'), Rovella (45+2'), Sarri (60'), Zaccagni (66')

Duncan (40'), Ikone (45+2'), Bonaventura (55')
> Preview
Jan 29, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 20
Lazio
1-1
Fiorentina
Casale (8')
Gonzalez (49')
> Preview
Oct 10, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Fiorentina
0-4
Lazio
Vecino (11'), Zaccagni (25'), Alberto (85'), Immobile (90+1')
> Preview
Feb 5, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Fiorentina
0-3
Lazio

Bonaventura (50'), Torreira (55')
Torreira (85')
Milinkovic-Savic (52'), Immobile (70'), Biraghi (81' og.)
Leiva (30'), Pedro (45+1'), Lazzari (67'), Patric (83'), Strakosha (85')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta18132343202341
2Napoli18132327121541
3Inter Milan17124145153040
4Lazio1811253325835
5Fiorentina1795331151632
6Juventus18711030151532
7Bologna177732521428
8AC Milan177642617927
9Udinese187382328-524
10Roma185582424020
11Torino185581924-520
12Empoli184771721-419
13Genoa184771627-1119
14Parma184682534-918
15Como184682030-1018
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1860122442-1818
17Lecce1844101131-2016
18CagliariCagliari1835101631-1514
19VeneziaVenezia1834111731-1413
20Monza1817101625-910
> Serie A Full Table


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