Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 62.73%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 16.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 0-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lazio | Draw | Sassuolo |
62.73% ( -0.32) | 21.15% ( 0.13) | 16.12% ( 0.19) |
Both teams to score 50.29% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.08% ( -0.23) | 45.92% ( 0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.77% ( -0.22) | 68.23% ( 0.22) |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.97% ( -0.17) | 14.03% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.42% ( -0.34) | 41.58% ( 0.34) |
Sassuolo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.49% ( 0.11) | 41.5% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22% ( 0.09) | 78% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Lazio | Draw | Sassuolo |
1-0 @ 11.43% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 11.23% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.35% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 6.47% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 3.61% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 3.18% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.68% Total : 62.73% | 1-1 @ 10.05% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.93% Total : 21.14% | 0-1 @ 5.12% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.76% Total : 16.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
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