Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 67.11%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 13.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.59%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.31%), while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Inter Milan | Draw | Lazio |
67.11% ( 0.23) | 19.58% ( -0.11) | 13.3% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 48.35% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.17% ( 0.19) | 44.82% ( -0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.82% ( 0.18) | 67.18% ( -0.18) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.6% ( 0.12) | 12.4% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.71% ( 0.25) | 38.29% ( -0.25) |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.2% ( -0.07) | 44.8% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.23% ( -0.06) | 80.77% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Inter Milan | Draw | Lazio |
2-0 @ 12.1% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 11.59% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.76% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.53% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.15% Total : 67.1% | 1-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.81% Total : 19.58% | 0-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.04% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.27% Total : 13.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 50 |
2 | Inter Milan | 20 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 51 | 18 | 33 | 47 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 46 | 24 | 22 | 43 |
4 | Lazio | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 37 | 28 | 9 | 39 |
5 | Juventus | 21 | 8 | 13 | 0 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 37 |
6 | Fiorentina | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 33 |
7 | Bologna | 20 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 33 |
8 | AC Milan | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 31 |
9 | Roma | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 27 |
10 | Udinese | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 26 |
11 | Torino | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 23 |
12 | Genoa | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 23 |
13 | Como | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 22 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 21 |
15 | Empoli | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 20 |
16 | Parma | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 20 |
17 | Lecce | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 36 | -21 | 20 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 21 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 24 | 47 | -23 | 19 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
20 | Monza | 21 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 13 |
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