MX23RW : Wednesday, December 11 21:13:42| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Leverkusen logo
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Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
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VfL Bochum
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Wolfsburg
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 7
Oct 19, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
Augsburg logo

Freiburg
3 - 1
Augsburg

Grifo (34'), Lienhart (37'), Gunter (45+1')
Lienhart (24')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Tietz (65')
Komur (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Werder Bremen 0-1 Freiburg
Saturday, October 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 2-1 Borussia M'bach
Friday, October 4 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Freiburg 2-1 Augsburg

Even though Augsburg have fired blanks in both 4-0 road losses this season, they are backed to find the back of the net this weekend. However, Freiburg should nick Saturday's result to continue their strong start and extend their winning record against gameweek seven's opponents on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 46.1%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.83%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
FreiburgDrawAugsburg
46.1% (1.166 1.17) 23.46% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 30.44% (-1.178 -1.18)
Both teams to score 61.27% (-0.70399999999999 -0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.78% (-0.653 -0.65)40.21% (0.657 0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.41% (-0.68 -0.68)62.59% (0.683 0.68)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.26% (0.20899999999999 0.21)17.74% (-0.205 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.58% (0.357 0.36)48.42% (-0.353 -0.35)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.49% (-1.044 -1.04)25.51% (1.048 1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.65% (-1.45 -1.45)60.35% (1.455 1.46)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 46.1%
    Augsburg 30.44%
    Draw 23.46%
FreiburgDrawAugsburg
2-1 @ 9.24% (0.125 0.13)
1-0 @ 7.83% (0.285 0.29)
2-0 @ 6.77% (0.29 0.29)
3-1 @ 5.33% (0.106 0.11)
3-0 @ 3.9% (0.192 0.19)
3-2 @ 3.64% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.3% (0.061 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.69% (0.094 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.57% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 46.1%
1-1 @ 10.69% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 6.32% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-0 @ 4.53% (0.135 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.66% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.46%
1-2 @ 7.3% (-0.172 -0.17)
0-1 @ 6.18% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 4.22% (-0.128 -0.13)
1-3 @ 3.33% (-0.183 -0.18)
2-3 @ 2.88% (-0.138 -0.14)
0-3 @ 1.92% (-0.119 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.14% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 30.44%

How you voted: Freiburg vs Augsburg

Freiburg
89.7%
Draw
8.6%
Augsburg
1.7%
58
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2024 6.30pm
Gameweek 23
Augsburg
2-1
Freiburg
Uduokhai (72'), Engels (81')
Vargas (23'), Bauer (79'), Iago (89')
Grifo (19' pen.)
Hofler (79')
Oct 1, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 6
Freiburg
2-0
Augsburg
Grifo (5' pen.), Lienhart (56')
Rohl (50'), Sildillia (75')

Breithaupt (60'), Michel (84')
Jan 28, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
Freiburg
3-1
Augsburg
Gregoritsch (13'), Holer (30'), Lienhart (85')
Berisha (29' pen.)
Aug 6, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Augsburg
0-4
Freiburg
Gregoritsch (46'), Grifo (48'), Ginter (61'), Doan (78')
Feb 19, 2022 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern13103041103133
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1383233181527
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1375130201026
4RB Leipzig137332114724
5Wolfsburg136342922721
6Borussia DortmundDortmund136342420421
7Freiburg136341717021
8Stuttgart135532623320
9Mainz 05Mainz135442318519
10Werder Bremen135442024-419
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach135351918118
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin134451214-216
13Augsburg134451625-916
14Hoffenheim133461825-713
15St Pauli133281117-611
16Heidenheim133191728-1110
17Holstein Kiel1312101333-205
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1302111034-242


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