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Serie A | Gameweek 34
Apr 26, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Benito Stirpe
Salernitana

Frosinone
3 - 0
Salernitana

Soule (10' pen.), Brescianini (25'), Zortea (85')
Zortea (41'), Mazzitelli (50')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Sambia (9'), Pierozzi (36')

The Match

Match Report

Salernitana are relegated from Serie A owing to a 3-0 loss at Frosinone, ending their three-year stay in the top flight of Italian football.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Frosinone and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Torino 0-0 Frosinone
Sunday, April 21 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 0-2 Fiorentina
Sunday, April 21 at 5pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 60.42%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 18.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 1-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-2 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Frosinone would win this match.

Result
FrosinoneDrawSalernitana
60.42% (-0.314 -0.31) 21.04% (0.076000000000001 0.08) 18.54% (0.241 0.24)
Both teams to score 55.64% (0.199 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.73% (0.042999999999999 0.04)41.27% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.33% (0.043999999999997 0.04)63.67% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Frosinone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.75% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)13.25% (0.08 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.98% (-0.15900000000001 -0.16)40.02% (0.161 0.16)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.14% (0.288 0.29)35.86% (-0.28700000000001 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.36% (0.293 0.29)72.64% (-0.29000000000001 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    Frosinone 60.42%
    Salernitana 18.54%
    Draw 21.04%
FrosinoneDrawSalernitana
2-1 @ 9.95% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 9.71% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
1-0 @ 9.6% (-0.046999999999999 -0.05)
3-1 @ 6.71% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.54% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.44% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.39% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.31% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.74% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.37% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.34% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 60.42%
1-1 @ 9.85% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.1% (0.039 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.75% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 21.04%
1-2 @ 5.05% (0.053 0.05)
0-1 @ 4.87% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.5% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.73% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 18.54%

How you voted: Frosinone vs Salernitana

Frosinone
74.1%
Draw
17.3%
Salernitana
8.6%
81
Head to Head
Sep 22, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 5
Salernitana
1-1
Frosinone
Cabral (52')
Mazzocchi (48'), Lovato (81')
Romagnoli (12')
Caso (30'), Okoli (34')
Apr 5, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 32
Salernitana
1-0
Frosinone
Cicerelli (55')
Anderson (9'), Di Tacchio (69'), Jaroszynski (76')

Vitale (14'), Gori (50'), Zampano (59'), Brighenti (84')
Dec 18, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 13
Frosinone
0-0
Salernitana
Carraro (78'), Curado (90+5')
Aya (73')
Feb 29, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 26
Frosinone
1-0
Salernitana
Novakovich (72')
Capuano (9'), Ariaudo (62'), Brighenti (65')

Maistro (29'), Kiyine (58'), Migliorini (66')
Oct 6, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 7
Salernitana
1-1
Frosinone
Kiyine (31' pen.)
Kiyine (36'), Maistro (43'), Lopez (65')
Capuano (95')
Gori (13'), Zampano (70')
Gori (29')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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