Independiente

2 - 1

Liverpool

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 69.48%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Liverpool had a probability of 12.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 1-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.26%), while for a Liverpool win it was 1-2 (3.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Independiente del Valle would win this match.