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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Jun 5, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini

Independiente Rivadavia
0 - 1
Union


Romero (4'), Palacios (39'), Ramis (64')
Ramis (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Balboa (63' pen.)
Mosqueira (17'), Pitton (27'), Pardo (28'), Paz (57'), Asenjo (67'), Orsini (67')
Pitton (74'), Balboa (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Independiente Rivadavia and Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sarmiento 0-1 Independiente Rivadavia
Sunday, May 26 at 9.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Union 2-0 Barracas Central
Monday, May 27 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Independiente Rivadavia 1-2 Union

Independiente and Union have enjoyed a solid start to the season and will be looking to keep the juggernaut rolling. However, Cicotello's men have failed to win their last four matches in all competitions and we see them struggling once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 44.55%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Independiente Rivadavia had a probability of 26.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.07%) and 1-2 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for a Independiente Rivadavia win it was 1-0 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Union in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Union.

Result
Independiente RivadaviaDrawUnion
26.78% (-1.063 -1.06) 28.67% (-0.44 -0.44) 44.55% (1.505 1.51)
Both teams to score 43.06% (0.486 0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.25% (0.91999999999999 0.92)62.74% (-0.92 -0.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.72% (0.666 0.67)82.28% (-0.664 -0.66)
Independiente Rivadavia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.92% (-0.384 -0.38)40.08% (0.385 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.27% (-0.355 -0.36)76.73% (0.35599999999999 0.36)
Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.86% (1.263 1.26)28.13% (-1.262 -1.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.18% (1.574 1.57)63.81% (-1.571 -1.57)
Score Analysis
    Independiente Rivadavia 26.78%
    Union 44.55%
    Draw 28.66%
Independiente RivadaviaDrawUnion
1-0 @ 10.31% (-0.47 -0.47)
2-1 @ 5.98% (-0.121 -0.12)
2-0 @ 4.71% (-0.268 -0.27)
3-1 @ 1.82% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-0 @ 1.44% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-2 @ 1.16% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 26.78%
1-1 @ 13.07% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 11.27% (-0.39 -0.39)
2-2 @ 3.79% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 28.66%
0-1 @ 14.3% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 9.07% (0.323 0.32)
1-2 @ 8.29% (0.211 0.21)
0-3 @ 3.83% (0.264 0.26)
1-3 @ 3.51% (0.207 0.21)
2-3 @ 1.6% (0.079 0.08)
0-4 @ 1.22% (0.123 0.12)
1-4 @ 1.11% (0.102 0.1)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 44.55%

How you voted: Independiente Rivadavia vs Union

Independiente Rivadavia
31.6%
Draw
42.1%
Union
26.3%
19
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2024 1am
Gameweek 7
Union
4-1
Independiente Rivadavia
Morales (3'), Pardo (7'), Gamba (61'), Luna Diale (83')
Del Blanco (34'), Corvalan (59')
Ramis (45+2')
Petrasso (42'), Bianchi (67'), Abecasis (80')
Petrasso (46')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield22127335152043
2HuracanHuracan22119225111442
3Racing ClubRacing22114732211137
4River PlateRiver Plate2299430161436
5TalleresTalleres229942622436
6UnionUnion2210662421336
7Atletico TucumanTucuman229672122-133
8Boca Juniors228772723431
9Deportivo Riestra228772323031
10IndependienteIndependiente2261241914530
11BelgranoBelgrano227962725230
12EstudiantesEstudiantes227962523230
13Platense227961716130
14Instituto228592825329
15GimnasiaGimnasia227872019129
16Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2261062324-128
17San Lorenzo227781819-128
18LanusLanus226972228-627
19TigreTigre226882528-326
20Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2275101822-426
21Rosario CentralRosario226792322125
22Central CordobaC. Cordoba226792328-525
23Defensa y JusticiaDefensa226792330-725
24Independiente Rivadavia226791523-825
25BanfieldBanfield2257102028-822
26Sarmiento224991523-821
27Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2256111529-1421
28Barracas Central2237121029-1916


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