Serie A | Gameweek 26
Feb 22, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Inter Milan1 - 0Genoa
We said: Inter Milan 2-0 Genoa
Although Genoa know how to keep things tight under their current manager, they have also scored the fewest goals during the first half this season (five), while Inter have recorded the most (27). Expect the hosts - also fired up by last week's setback - to start quickly, then, before sitting in and coasting towards success. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 76.5%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 7.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.02%) and 3-0 (11.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.39%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (3.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Milan | Draw | Genoa |
76.5% ( 0.11) | 15.64% ( -0.06) | 7.86% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 41.6% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.2% ( 0.07) | 42.8% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.8% ( 0.07) | 65.2% ( -0.08) |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.59% ( 0.04) | 9.4% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 68.36% ( 0.11) | 31.63% ( -0.11) |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.92% ( -0.08) | 54.08% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 12.67% ( -0.05) | 87.32% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
Inter Milan 76.49%
Genoa 7.86%
Draw 15.64%
| Inter Milan | Draw | Genoa |
| 2-0 @ 14.21% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 12.02% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 11.19% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.88% ( 0)4-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.92% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.25% 6-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.11% Total : 76.49% | 1-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.47% Total : 15.64% | 0-1 @ 3.13% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.51% Total : 7.86% |
How you voted: Inter Milan vs Genoa
Inter Milan
82.0%Draw
14.8%Genoa
3.3%61
Head to Head
Aug 17, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
Genoa
2-2
Inter Milan
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Genoa
1-1
Inter Milan
Feb 25, 2022 8.05pm
Aug 21, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
Inter Milan
4-0
Genoa
