Serie A | Gameweek 21
Jan 17, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Roma3 - 1Genoa
We said: Roma 1-1 Genoa
On home soil this season, Roma have won six times and lost on four occasions, summing up their chronic inconsistency under three different managers. As Genoa actually average more points on their travels, they can continue their impressive run of results by grinding out a low-scoring draw. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 65.71%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 13.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.96%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | Genoa |
65.71% ( 0.89) | 20.9% ( -0.4) | 13.39% ( -0.5) |
| Both teams to score 44.5% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.85% ( 0.55) | 50.15% ( -0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.88% ( 0.49) | 72.11% ( -0.49) |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.53% ( 0.46) | 14.46% ( -0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.56% ( 0.88) | 42.43% ( -0.89) |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.03% ( -0.43) | 47.97% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 16.79% ( -0.32) | 83.2% ( 0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
Roma 65.69%
Genoa 13.39%
Draw 20.9%
| Roma | Draw | Genoa |
| 1-0 @ 13.41% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 12.96% ( 0.13)2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.17)4-1 @ 2.97% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.09)5-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.24% Total : 65.69% | 1-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.6% Total : 20.9% | 0-1 @ 5.1% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.8% Total : 13.39% |
How you voted: Roma vs Genoa
Roma
73.5%Draw
22.1%Genoa
4.4%113
Head to Head
Sep 15, 2024 11.30am
Gameweek 4
Genoa
1-1
Roma
May 19, 2024 7.45pm
Jan 12, 2023 8pm
Feb 5, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 24
Roma
0-0
Genoa
