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Serie A
Genoa logo
Serie A | Gameweek 20
Jan 12, 2025 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
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Genoa
1 - 0
Parma

Frendrup (65')
Badelj (4'), Kasa (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Valenti (7'), Hernani (36'), Pecchia (39'), Del Prato (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Parma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Genoa

All competitions
Last Game: Lecce 0-0 Genoa
Sunday, January 5 at 2pm in Serie A

Parma

All competitions
Last Game: Torino 0-0 Parma
Sunday, January 5 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Genoa 1-0 Parma

 Serie A's most improved defence hosts the league's second-worst back line, so Genoa should shut Parma out and secure maximum points. One goal could decide the outcome at Marassi, where the home side are set to finally celebrate their first league win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Parma had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Genoa in this match.

Result
GenoaDrawParma
41.81% (-0.101 -0.1) 26.61% (0.033999999999999 0.03) 31.59% (0.07 0.07)
Both teams to score 51.24% (-0.080000000000005 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.46% (-0.112 -0.11)53.55% (0.113 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.94% (-0.095000000000002 -0.1)75.06% (0.096999999999994 0.1)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.7% (-0.102 -0.1)25.3% (0.104 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.93% (-0.141 -0.14)60.07% (0.144 0.14)
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.6% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)31.4% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.22% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)67.78% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Genoa 41.8%
    Parma 31.59%
    Draw 26.6%
GenoaDrawParma
1-0 @ 10.91% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.69% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.5% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.98% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.44% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.31% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.37% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.18% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 41.8%
1-1 @ 12.64% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.95% (0.035 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.03% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.6%
0-1 @ 9.2% (0.039 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.32% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.33% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.83% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.06% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.94% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 31.59%

How you voted: Genoa vs Parma

Genoa
69.0%
Draw
31.0%
Parma
0.0%
42
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 11
Parma
0-1
Genoa

Keita (36'), Haj Mohamed (41')
Pinamonti (80')
Leali (27'), Zanoli (54'), Ekhator (60'), Vasquez (82'), Balotelli (90+1')
> Preview
Feb 5, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 23
Parma
2-0
Genoa
Benedyczak (32'), Vazquez (53' pen.)
Sep 3, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 4
Genoa
3-3
Parma
Frendrup (16'), Hefti (42'), Coda (51' pen.)
Badelj (27'), Gudmundsson (40'), Bani (63')
Gudmundsson (90+2')
Inglese (21'), Mihaila (37'), Estevez (89')
Vazquez (23'), Juric (45'), Coulibaly (53'), Circati (90+4')
Mar 19, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Parma
1-2
Genoa
Pelle (16')
Bani (19'), Pezzella (57'), Pelle (72'), Brugman (78'), Kucka (90+5')
Scamacca (50', 69')
Ballardini (58'), Radovanovic (73'), Biraschi (84')
> Preview
Nov 30, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Genoa
1-2
Parma
Shomurodov (50')
Badelj (77'), Bani (84')
Gervinho (10', 47')
Busi (58'), Karamoh (67')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli21162335142150
2Inter Milan20145151183347
3Atalanta BCAtalanta21134446242243
4Lazio2112363728939
5Juventus21813034171737
6Fiorentina2096533211233
7Bologna208933226633
8AC Milan208752921831
9Roma217683127427
10Udinese217592432-826
11Torino215882126-523
12Genoa215881830-1223
13Como215792634-822
14CagliariCagliari2156102334-1121
15Empoli214892028-820
16Parma214892636-1020
17Lecce2155111536-2120
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2161142447-2319
19VeneziaVenezia2136121934-1515
20Monza2127122031-1113
> Serie A Full Table


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