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Serie A | Gameweek 25
Feb 16, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Salernitana

Inter Milan
4 - 0
Salernitana

Thuram (17'), Martinez (19'), Dumfries (40'), Arnautovic (90')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Tchaouna (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 2-4 Inter Milan
Saturday, February 10 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 1-3 Empoli
Friday, February 9 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Inter Milan 3-0 Salernitana

Despite the managerial change at Salernitana, any response to Liverani's appointment must wait, with Inter expected to secure a routine victory over the struggling visitors at San Siro. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 86.35%. A draw had a probability of 9.9% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 3.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.83%) and 4-0 (10.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.68%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (1.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawSalernitana
86.35% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05) 9.93% (0.031000000000001 0.03) 3.72% (0.0211 0.02)
Both teams to score 36.12% (0.061 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.08% (-0.032000000000011 -0.03)33.92% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.23% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)55.77% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.62% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)5.38% (0.016 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.89% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)21.11% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
38.17% (0.071999999999996 0.07)61.83% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
8.44% (0.036100000000001 0.04)91.55% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 86.33%
    Salernitana 3.72%
    Draw 9.93%
Inter MilanDrawSalernitana
2-0 @ 14.2% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 13.83% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-0 @ 10.1% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-0 @ 9.72% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.83% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.65% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 5.91% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 4.86% (0.00099999999999945 0)
6-0 @ 2.88% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2.84% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 1.6% (0.006 0.01)
6-1 @ 1.38% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
7-0 @ 1.2% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 86.33%
1-1 @ 4.68% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.33% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 1.64% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 9.93%
0-1 @ 1.6% (0.006 0.01)
1-2 @ 1.12% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 3.72%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Salernitana

Inter Milan
93.5%
Draw
3.3%
Salernitana
3.3%
123
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Salernitana
0-4
Inter Milan

Cabral (60'), Gyomber (69')
Martinez (62', 77', 85', 89')
Calhanoglu (25')
Apr 7, 2023 4pm
Oct 16, 2022 11.30am
Mar 4, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Inter Milan
5-0
Salernitana
Martinez (22', 40', 56'), Dzeko (64', 69')
Darmian (8'), de Vrij (44')

Mousset (12')
Dec 17, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Salernitana
0-5
Inter Milan

Gyomber (53')
Perisic (11'), Dumfries (33'), Sanchez (52'), Martinez (77'), Gagliardini (87')
Barella (18'), Calhanoglu (76')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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