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St Mirren logo
Kilmarnock logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 17
Dec 15, 2024 at 3pm UK
Rugby Park
Hearts logo

Kilmarnock
vs.
Hearts

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dundee Utd 1-1 Kilmarnock
Saturday, December 7 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Copenhagen 2-0 Hearts
Thursday, December 12 at 5.45pm in Conference League

We say: Kilmarnock 1-2 Hearts

Both sides have suffered at the beginning of this season, but with Hearts looking revitalised under Critchley in past matches, while the hosts are winless in their last six, we believe the visitors will win here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Hearts has a probability of 32.77% and a draw has a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Hearts win is 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.24%).

Result
KilmarnockDrawHearts
41.43% (0.236 0.24) 25.79% (0.080000000000002 0.08) 32.77% (-0.319 -0.32)
Both teams to score 54.28% (-0.361 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.18% (-0.424 -0.42)49.81% (0.41999999999999 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.18% (-0.379 -0.38)71.81% (0.377 0.38)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.17% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)23.82% (0.065000000000001 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)57.99% (0.092999999999996 0.09)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.26% (-0.411 -0.41)28.74% (0.409 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.42% (-0.516 -0.52)64.57% (0.514 0.51)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 41.43%
    Hearts 32.77%
    Draw 25.78%
KilmarnockDrawHearts
1-0 @ 9.82% (0.148 0.15)
2-1 @ 8.78% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.04% (0.093 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.2%
3-0 @ 3.37% (0.037 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.62% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.21% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 41.43%
1-1 @ 12.24% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.85% (0.116 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.48% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.78%
0-1 @ 8.54% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 7.64% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.32% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.17% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.21% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 32.77%

Who will win Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Hearts?

Kilmarnock
Draw
Hearts
Kilmarnock
15.4%
Draw
23.1%
Hearts
61.5%
13
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Hearts
1-2
Kilmarnock
Forrest (44')
Penrice (87')
Kennedy (58'), Vassell (63')
Vassell (52'), Kennedy (65'), Watkins (77')
Apr 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 34
Kilmarnock
0-0
Hearts
Mayo (36'), Wright (44'), Donnelly (61'), Findlay (89')
Mar 30, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 31
Hearts
1-1
Kilmarnock
Vargas (10')
Kent (27'), Cochrane (65')
Watkins (67')
Armstrong (28'), Deas (63')
Dec 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 15
Kilmarnock
0-1
Hearts

Dennis (40'), Watson (68')
Dennis (18' og.)
Nieuwenhof (79')
Sep 26, 2023 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Kilmarnock
1-2
Hearts
Lyons (68')
Grant (40'), Lowry (90+2')
Grant (50'), Haring (60'), Nieuwenhof (88'), Sibbick (90+6')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1514104444043
2Aberdeen16104230181234
3RangersRangers1510232791832
4Motherwell168172226-425
5Dundee UnitedDundee Utd166642519624
6St Mirren176382228-621
7Dundee165472729-219
8Hibernian173682129-815
9Ross County173681333-2015
10St Johnstone1742112032-1214
11Kilmarnock163581734-1714
12Hearts163491825-713


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