Copa Sudamericana | Round of 32 | 1st Leg
Jul 19, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio de Liga Deportiva Universitaria
LDU Quito3 - 0Always Ready
Form, Standings, Stats
We said: LDU Quito 2-0 Always Ready
LDU are the current champions of this competition and are formidable on home turf, making them clear favourites going into this encounter. Furthermore, Always Ready are facing an unknown quantity in this match as the hosts have a new manager, which is a factor alongside their poor away record. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LDU Quito win with a probability of 66.97%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Always Ready had a probability of 13.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a LDU Quito win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.8%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%), while for an Always Ready win it was 0-1 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that LDU Quito would win this match.
| Result | ||
| LDU Quito | Draw | Always Ready |
66.97% ( 0.46) | 19.72% ( -0.26) | 13.31% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 47.91% ( 0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
