Serie A | Gameweek 22
Jan 26, 2025 at 5pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Lecce0 - 4Inter Milan
We said: Lecce 0-2 Inter Milan
Simone Inzaghi should reach 200 Serie A wins after 331 games - which would surpass the record currently held by Max Allegri (338) - as Inter are set for a Sunday stroll to victory. Even if Lecce can initially keep their visitors at arm's length, they have conceded the most goals after half time this season; meanwhile, Inter rank first for goals scored during the second half. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 74.35%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 8.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.57%) and 0-3 (10.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.99%), while for a Lecce win it was 1-0 (3.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lecce | Draw | Inter Milan |
8.5% ( 0.42) | 17.15% ( 0.31) | 74.35% ( -0.73) |
| Both teams to score 39.53% ( 0.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.65% ( 0.03) | 47.35% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.43% ( 0.03) | 69.57% ( -0.03) |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 44.48% ( 1.02) | 55.52% ( -1.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 11.81% ( 0.59) | 88.19% ( -0.59) |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.86% ( -0.19) | 11.14% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 64.41% ( -0.41) | 35.59% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
Lecce 8.5%
Inter Milan 74.34%
Draw 17.15%
| Lecce | Draw | Inter Milan |
| 1-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 2.35% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.44% Total : 8.5% | 1-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.4% Total : 17.15% | 0-2 @ 14.89% ( -0.25) 0-1 @ 13.57% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 10.89% ( -0.27)1-2 @ 8.76% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 6.41% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 5.98% ( -0.19)1-4 @ 3.52% ( -0)0-5 @ 2.62% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.07)1-5 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.03)0-6 @ 0.96% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.27% Total : 74.34% |
How you voted: Lecce vs Inter Milan
Lecce
8.1%Draw
6.8%Inter Milan
85.1%74
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2024 7.45pm
Feb 25, 2024 5pm
Dec 23, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 17
Inter Milan
2-0
Lecce
Mar 5, 2023 5pm
Aug 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Lecce
1-2
Inter Milan
