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Fiorentina logo
Genoa logo
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Monza
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Serie A | Gameweek 17
Dec 21, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Lazio logo

Lecce
1 - 2
Lazio

Morente (50')
Dorgu (69'), Rebic (71'), Ramadani (90')
Guilbert (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Castellanos (45+3' pen.), Marusic (87')
Tchaouna (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lecce 2-1 Monza
Sunday, December 15 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 0-6 Inter Milan
Monday, December 16 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Lecce 1-3 Lazio

Lazio have both won and lost half of their Serie A away games this season, but they are more than capable of improving that record at Lecce's expense. Responding to an awful collapse on Monday, Marco Baroni can get the better of his old club and boost the Biancocelesti's push for a top-four finish. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 51.19%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.86%) and 1-2 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Lecce win it was 1-0 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
LecceDrawLazio
23.2% (-0.845 -0.84) 25.6% (-0.443 -0.44) 51.19% (1.288 1.29)
Both teams to score 48.2% (0.371 0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.44% (0.935 0.94)54.56% (-0.934 -0.93)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.09% (0.771 0.77)75.9% (-0.77 -0.77)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.28% (-0.268 -0.27)38.72% (0.267 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.54% (-0.256 -0.26)75.46% (0.25700000000001 0.26)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.66% (0.944 0.94)21.34% (-0.943 -0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.69% (1.434 1.43)54.31% (-1.434 -1.43)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 23.2%
    Lazio 51.19%
    Draw 25.6%
LecceDrawLazio
1-0 @ 7.84% (-0.349 -0.35)
2-1 @ 5.75% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-0 @ 3.72% (-0.194 -0.19)
3-1 @ 1.82% (-0.055 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.4% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.18% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 23.2%
1-1 @ 12.11% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-0 @ 8.26% (-0.305 -0.31)
2-2 @ 4.44% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 25.6%
0-1 @ 12.76% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-2 @ 9.86% (0.2 0.2)
1-2 @ 9.35% (0.123 0.12)
0-3 @ 5.07% (0.242 0.24)
1-3 @ 4.81% (0.196 0.2)
2-3 @ 2.28% (0.077 0.08)
0-4 @ 1.96% (0.145 0.15)
1-4 @ 1.86% (0.126 0.13)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 51.19%

How you voted: Lecce vs Lazio

Lecce
15.3%
Draw
20.8%
Lazio
63.9%
72
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2024 11.30am
Gameweek 20
Lazio
1-0
Lecce
Anderson (58')
Zaccagni (45'), Guendouzi (77'), Vecino (89'), Immobile (90+3')

Gendrey (45'), Venuti (75'), Ramadani (81'), Pongracic (90+3')
Aug 20, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Lecce
2-1
Lazio
Almqvist (85'), Di Francesco (87')
Espeto (68'), Gonzalez (80'), Pongracic (80')
Immobile (26')
Isaksen (71'), Pellegrini (90+4')
May 12, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 35
Lazio
2-2
Lecce
Immobile (34'), Milinkovic-Savic (90+4')
Oudin (45+2', 51')
Jan 4, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 16
Lecce
2-1
Lazio
Espeto (57'), Colombo (71')
Immobile (14')
Jul 7, 2020 6.30pm
Gameweek 31
Lecce
2-1
Lazio
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli19142330121844
2Atalanta BCAtalanta18132343202341
3Inter Milan17124145153040
4Lazio1911263327635
5Juventus18711030151532
6Fiorentina1895431181332
7Bologna177732521428
8AC Milan177642617927
9Udinese197482328-525
10Roma196582624223
11Torino195681924-521
12Empoli194871822-420
13Genoa194871627-1120
14Parma194782534-919
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1961122442-1819
16Como184682030-1018
17CagliariCagliari1945101832-1417
18Lecce1945101131-2017
19VeneziaVenezia1935111832-1414
20Monza1917111727-1010


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