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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 52.64%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 25.26% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.75%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
Result | ||
Leicester City | Draw | Southampton |
52.64% | 22.1% ( 0) | 25.26% |
Both teams to score 61.83% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.38% ( -0.01) | 37.62% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.14% ( -0.01) | 59.86% ( 0.01) |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.56% ( -0) | 14.44% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.62% ( -0.01) | 42.38% ( 0.01) |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.27% ( -0) | 27.73% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.7% ( -0.01) | 63.3% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Leicester City | Draw | Southampton |
2-1 @ 9.62% 1-0 @ 7.75% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.5% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.2% 3-0 @ 4.84% 3-2 @ 3.98% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.34% 4-2 @ 1.93% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.16% 5-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.42% Total : 52.64% | 1-1 @ 9.94% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.17% 0-0 @ 4% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.7% ( -0) Other @ 0.29% Total : 22.1% | 1-2 @ 6.37% 0-1 @ 5.14% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.29% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.73% 2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.69% Total : 25.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
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