We said: Ludogorets Razgrad 3-0 Petrocub Hincesti
After the embarrassing nature of their exit from the Champions League earlier in the month, Ludogorets should be raring to put Petrocub to the sword on Thursday night.
The Hincesti Lions did well to keep a clean sheet in both matches against The New Saints, but the attack of the Eagles is likely to prove too strong for the visitors to Huvepharma Arena.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 73.57%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Petrocub Hincesti had a probability of 10.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.01%) and 3-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.74%), while for a Petrocub Hincesti win it was 0-1 (3.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ludogorets Razgrad would win this match.
