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Macarthur
Australian A-League | Gameweek 20
Mar 10, 2024 at 6am UK
Campbelltown Stadium (Sydney)
Central Coast Mariners

Macarthur
0 - 3
Central Coast


Davila (22'), Nicolaou (38'), Jurman (47'), Baccus (90')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Nisbet (8'), Barcellos (19'), Edmondson (55')
Barcellos (10')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Central Coast Mariners.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Macarthur 2-0 Melbourne City
Friday, March 1 at 9.28am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 0-1 Central Coast
Saturday, March 2 at 7am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 47.64%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 30.37% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.15%) and 0-2 (5.95%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.

Result
MacarthurDrawCentral Coast Mariners
30.37% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08) 21.99% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 47.64% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Both teams to score 66.73% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.95% (0.037999999999997 0.04)33.05% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.22% (0.043999999999997 0.04)54.78% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.99% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)22% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.68% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)55.32% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Central Coast Mariners Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.55% (0.045999999999992 0.05)14.45% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.6% (0.090999999999994 0.09)42.4% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Macarthur 30.37%
    Central Coast Mariners 47.64%
    Draw 21.99%
MacarthurDrawCentral Coast Mariners
2-1 @ 7.05% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-0 @ 4.81% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.64% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.56% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.44% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 1.84% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.35% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.3% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 30.37%
1-1 @ 9.31% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.82% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 3.18% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.22% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 21.99%
1-2 @ 9.01% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-1 @ 6.15% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-2 @ 5.95% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.81% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 4.4% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.84% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.81% (0.011 0.01)
2-4 @ 2.13% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.86% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.09% (0.006 0.01)
3-4 @ 1.07% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 47.64%

Head to Head
Oct 29, 2023 4am
Gameweek 2
Central Coast
1-2
Macarthur
Kaltack (90+1')
Theoharous (31'), Kuol (53'), Doka (74'), Wilson (90')
Germain (57'), Baccus (84')
Aspropotamitis (20'), Lewis (28'), Nicolaou (53'), Baccus (90+1')
Mar 11, 2023 6am
Jan 13, 2023 8.45am
Gameweek 12
Macarthur
1-2
Central Coast
Millar (57')
Tulio (4'), Cummings (26')
Nov 13, 2022 4am
Gameweek 6
Central Coast
2-3
Macarthur
Kuol (65' pen., 72')
Aspropotamitis (48'), Drew (90+5')
Mar 19, 2022 6.05am
Gameweek 19
Central Coast
4-2
Macarthur
Urena (27', 82'), Hatch (48'), Smith (57')
Roux (64')
Mariappa (45+1'), Rose (88')
M'Mombwa (5'), Mutch (32'), Noone (90')
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