Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 47.64%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 30.37% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.15%) and 0-2 (5.95%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.