Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 39.58%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.96%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (11.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Casa Pia | Draw | Famalicao |
31.71% ( 0.16) | 28.71% ( 0.03) | 39.58% ( -0.19) |
Both teams to score 45.17% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.78% ( -0.06) | 61.22% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.85% ( -0.05) | 81.15% ( 0.05) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.68% ( 0.08) | 35.32% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.92% ( 0.09) | 72.08% ( -0.08) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.84% ( -0.14) | 30.16% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.69% ( -0.17) | 66.31% ( 0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Casa Pia | Draw | Famalicao |
1-0 @ 11.08% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 6.92% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.4% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.44% ( 0) Other @ 2.1% Total : 31.7% | 1-1 @ 13.28% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.65% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.15% ( -0) Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.7% | 0-1 @ 12.76% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.96% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.65% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.44% Total : 39.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 34 | 41 |
2 | Benfica | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 42 | 11 | 31 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 40 |
4 | Braga | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 31 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 31 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Casa Pia | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 24 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 22 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 20 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 18 |
13 | Nacional | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 16 |
15 | AVS | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 15 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 14 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
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