MX23RW : Friday, January 17 23:17:53| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estrela Amadora
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17
Jan 5, 2025 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Jose Gomes
Estoril

Estrela Amadora
2 - 4
Estoril

Luiz (57'), Pinho (70')
Gabriel Coelho Oliveira (48'), Pinho (56')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Xeka (15'), Begraoui (25'), Gabriel Coelho Oliveira (31' og.), Marques (76')
Marques (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Estrela Amadora and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AVS 1-1 Estrela Amadora
Saturday, December 28 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 2-2 Moreirense
Saturday, December 28 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estrela Amadora 2-0 Estoril Praia

Estrela have rediscovered their form on home turf, winning four of the last six matches in front of their fans and scoring at least twice in five of those encounters. With the visitors struggling on their travels - failing to score in five of their seven league outings - keeping up with the hosts could prove a daunting task, making a home win the most likely outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estrela Amadora win with a probability of 50.12%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 25.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Estrela AmadoraDrawEstoril Praia
50.12% (0.471 0.47) 24.81% (0.113 0.11) 25.07% (-0.588 -0.59)
Both teams to score 52.49% (-0.91999999999999 -0.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.13% (-0.942 -0.94)49.86% (0.936 0.94)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.13% (-0.848 -0.85)71.86% (0.84399999999999 0.84)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.09% (-0.182 -0.18)19.91% (0.177 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.95% (-0.29 -0.29)52.04% (0.287 0.29)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.54% (-0.999 -1)34.45% (0.995 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.83% (-1.078 -1.08)71.16% (1.073 1.07)
Score Analysis
    Estrela Amadora 50.11%
    Estoril Praia 25.07%
    Draw 24.8%
Estrela AmadoraDrawEstoril Praia
1-0 @ 11.07% (0.36 0.36)
2-1 @ 9.52% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.93% (0.239 0.24)
3-1 @ 5.12% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.81% (0.103 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.09 -0.09)
4-1 @ 2.07% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.94% (0.032 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 50.11%
1-1 @ 11.79% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.86% (0.257 0.26)
2-2 @ 5.07% (-0.139 -0.14)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.8%
0-1 @ 7.31% (0.081 0.08)
1-2 @ 6.29% (-0.137 -0.14)
0-2 @ 3.89% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.23% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.38% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 25.07%

How you voted: Estrela Amadora vs Estoril

Estrela Amadora
77.3%
Draw
4.5%
Estoril Praia
18.2%
22
Head to Head
Jul 23, 2024 11pm
Feb 4, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 20
Estoril
1-0
Estrela Amadora
Fernandes (57')
Marques (38'), Marques (71'), Ndiaye (75')

Bucca (79'), Sa (85')
Aug 25, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 3
Estrela Amadora
2-1
Estoril
Tavares (47'), Cordeiro (90+10')
Pereira Martins (87')
Marques (67')
Holsgrove (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon17132248143441
2Benfica18132342113141
3Porto17131340112940
4Braga1794430191131
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1710161816231
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes176742622425
7Casa Pia176651920-124
8MoreirenseMoreirense176472225-322
9FamalicaoFamalicao184862024-420
10Rio AveRio Ave175571828-1020
11Gil Vicente174761926-719
12Estoril PraiaEstoril174671828-1018
13Nacional174491323-1016
14Estrela Amadora174491629-1316
15AVS172961324-1115
16AroucaArouca1743101328-1515
17SC FarenseFarense173591123-1214
18BoavistaBoavista172691126-1512


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