Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 37.57% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.17%) and 3-1 (4.94%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.