MX23RW : Monday, January 13 04:28:13| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Mainz logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 7
Oct 19, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Mewa Arena
Leipzig logo

Mainz
0 - 2
RB Leipzig


Nebel (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Simons (20'), Orban (37')
Haidara (53'), Vermeeren (60'), Elmas (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Pauli 0-3 Mainz
Saturday, October 5 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Heidenheim 0-1 RB Leipzig
Sunday, October 6 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Mainz 05 0-1 RB Leipzig

Leipzig's impressive defensive record, with five clean sheets in six matches, makes them strong favourites to continue their unbeaten run and extend their commendable Bundesliga streak to 18 games without a loss. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.65%) and 0-2 (5.94%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 2-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
Mainz 05DrawRB Leipzig
35.79% (0.137 0.14) 24.22% (0.032 0.03) 39.98% (-0.173 -0.17)
Both teams to score 60.47% (-0.10700000000001 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.9% (-0.147 -0.15)42.1% (0.14299999999999 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.5% (-0.149 -0.15)64.5% (0.14400000000001 0.14)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.71% (0.0049999999999955 0)23.29% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.77% (0.009999999999998 0.01)57.22% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.83% (-0.14700000000001 -0.15)21.17% (0.142 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.96% (-0.227 -0.23)54.03% (0.223 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 35.79%
    RB Leipzig 39.98%
    Draw 24.22%
Mainz 05DrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 8.13% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.18% (0.048 0.05)
2-0 @ 5.23% (0.036 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.95% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.07% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.54% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.44% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 0.93% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 35.79%
1-1 @ 11.15% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.31% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.93% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.59% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.22%
1-2 @ 8.66% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.65% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.94% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.48% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.27% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.08% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.74% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.27% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.19% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 39.98%

How you voted: Mainz vs RB Leipzig

Mainz 05
19.7%
Draw
14.8%
RB Leipzig
65.6%
61
Head to Head
Mar 30, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 27
RB Leipzig
0-0
Mainz
Lukeba (67'), Simons (86')
Caci (20'), Mwene (27'), Amiri (34'), Barreiro (70'), Hanche-Olsen (79')
Nov 4, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
Mainz
2-0
RB Leipzig
Jae-sung (76'), Barreiro (80')
Caci (39'), Barkok (88'), van den Berg (90')
Apr 1, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 26
RB Leipzig
0-3
Mainz
Ingvartsen (9'), Ajorque (57'), Kohr (67')
Oct 8, 2022 2.30pm
Jan 8, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
RB Leipzig
4-1
Mainz
Silva (21' pen., 61'), Szoboszlai (47'), Nkunku (58')
Jae-sung (57')
Jae-sung (16'), Bell (59')
Hack (19')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern16123148133539
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen16105140231735
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1693436231330
4RB Leipzig169342822630
5Mainz 05Mainz1684430201028
6Freiburg168352426-227
7Stuttgart167543025526
8Borussia DortmundDortmund167453025525
9Werder Bremen167452829-125
10Wolfsburg167363328524
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach167362521424
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin164571421-717
13Augsburg164481733-1616
14St Pauli1642101220-814
15Hoffenheim163582029-914
16Heidenheim1641112033-1313
17Holstein Kiel1622122141-208
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1613121337-246


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!