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Bundesliga
Stuttgart
Bundesliga | Gameweek 2
Aug 31, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Mercedes-Benz-Arena
Mainz logo

Stuttgart
3 - 3
Mainz

Millot (8'), Leweling (15'), Rieder (88')
Karazor (36'), Chabot (53'), Millot (57'), Vagnomann (84')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Amiri (43' pen.), Burkardt (62'), Leitsch (90+4')
Riess (71'), Widmer (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stuttgart

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Preussen Munster 0-5 Stuttgart
Tuesday, August 27 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

Mainz 05

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 1-1 Union Berlin
Saturday, August 24 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Stuttgart 1-1 Mainz 05

 The home side have a number of defensive injury concerns heading into this game, and their vulnerability could be exposed by a confident and physical Mainz. The away side are also now on a 10-game unbeaten run in the Bundesliga, but with recent history versus their opponents against them we would be surprised if they left Stuttgart with all three points in the bag. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 67.41%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 14.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 1-0 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-2 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
StuttgartDrawMainz 05
67.41% (1.839 1.84) 18.35% (-0.287 -0.29) 14.24% (-1.55 -1.55)
Both teams to score 55.34% (-3.037 -3.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.04% (-2.026 -2.03)36.96% (2.026 2.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.86% (-2.227 -2.23)59.14% (2.229 2.23)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.91% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)10.09% (0.112 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.78% (-0.256 -0.26)33.22% (0.257 0.26)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.55% (-3.297 -3.3)38.45% (3.297 3.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.8% (-3.297 -3.3)75.2% (3.297 3.3)
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 67.41%
    Mainz 05 14.24%
    Draw 18.35%
StuttgartDrawMainz 05
2-0 @ 10.2% (0.885 0.89)
2-1 @ 9.75% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.9% (0.815 0.82)
3-0 @ 7.8% (0.645 0.65)
3-1 @ 7.46% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
4-0 @ 4.48% (0.35 0.35)
4-1 @ 4.28% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.57% (-0.347 -0.35)
5-0 @ 2.05% (0.151 0.15)
4-2 @ 2.04% (-0.211 -0.21)
5-1 @ 1.96% (-0.026 -0.03)
5-2 @ 0.94% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 3.99%
Total : 67.41%
1-1 @ 8.5% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.66% (-0.43 -0.43)
0-0 @ 3.88% (0.372 0.37)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.228 -0.23)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 18.35%
1-2 @ 4.06% (-0.353 -0.35)
0-1 @ 3.71% (0.041 0.04)
0-2 @ 1.77% (-0.144 -0.14)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.29 -0.29)
1-3 @ 1.3% (-0.245 -0.25)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 14.24%

How you voted: Stuttgart vs Mainz

Stuttgart
66.1%
Draw
25.8%
Mainz 05
8.1%
62
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 21
Stuttgart
3-1
Mainz
Mittelstadt (45+2'), Leweling (45+4'), Undav (73')
Karazor (82')
Ajorque (76')
Guilavogui (84')
> Preview
Sep 16, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Mainz
1-3
Stuttgart
Barreiro (69')
Caci (11')
Guirassy (56', 84', 90+7')
Stiller (60'), Anton (67')
> Preview
May 21, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 33
Mainz
1-4
Stuttgart
Ingvartsen (23')
Kohr (61'), Bell (75'), Ajorque (90+5')
Endo (41'), Guirassy (64'), Fuhrich (78'), Coulibaly (90+1')
Endo (73')
> Preview
Jan 21, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 16
Stuttgart
1-1
Mainz
Guirassy (36')
Ingvartsen (40' pen.)
> Preview
Apr 16, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 30
Mainz
0-0
Stuttgart
Matarazzo (45+2'), Stenzel (70')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern14103142123033
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1483334201427
4RB Leipzig148332315827
5Freiburg147342019124
6Stuttgart146532924523
7Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
8Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
9Werder Bremen146442224-222
10Wolfsburg146353125621
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim143561926-714
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243
> Bundesliga Full Table


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