Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 82.13%. A draw had a probability of 11.5% and a win for West Ham United Women had a probability of 6.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.32%), while for a West Ham United Women win it was 1-2 (1.99%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.