Mantova

3 - 2

Cosenza

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mantova win with a probability of 48.61%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 25.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mantova win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Cosenza Calcio win it was 0-1 (8.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mantova would win this match.