Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 54.3%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 21.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.88%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-0 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Lille |
21.72% ( -0.03) | 23.97% ( -0.01) | 54.3% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 51.22% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.35% ( 0.01) | 49.65% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.33% ( 0.02) | 71.66% ( -0.01) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.6% ( -0.02) | 37.39% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.82% ( -0.02) | 74.17% ( 0.02) |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.81% ( 0.02) | 18.18% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.82% ( 0.04) | 49.18% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Lille |
1-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.29% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.84% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.57% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 1.65% Total : 21.72% | 1-1 @ 11.4% 0-0 @ 6.8% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( -0) Other @ 0.99% Total : 23.97% | 0-1 @ 11.59% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9.88% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.72% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5.61% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.52% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.39% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.35% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 3.36% Total : 54.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 19 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 49 | 17 | 32 | 47 |
2 | Marseille | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 37 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Nice | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 33 |
5 | Lille | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 32 |
6 | Lyon | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 30 |
7 | Lens | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 30 |
8 | Brest | 19 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 28 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 27 |
10 | Toulouse | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 25 |
11 | Auxerre | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 23 |
12 | Reims | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 22 |
13 | Angers | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 22 |
14 | NantesNantes | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 18 |
15 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 18 |
16 | Rennes | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 17 |
17 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 20 | 44 | -24 | 15 |
18 | Le HavreLe Havre | 19 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 38 | -24 | 13 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |