MX23RW : Sunday, May 5 23:35:18| >> :300:86500:86500:
Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Metz logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 16
Dec 17, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade Saint-Symphorien
Montpellier

Metz
0 - 1
Montpellier


Diallo (53'), Udol (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Esteve (9')
Jullien (74'), Lecomte (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Metz and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Metz 0-1 Brest
Sunday, December 10 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 0-0 Lens
Friday, December 8 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Metz 0-0 Montpellier HSC

Attacking is not the strong suit of either side, currently separated by two points in the table, with Montpellier in 14th, while Metz have netted two fewer times than their Sunday opponents (15). Combine that with the creative struggles of each, and we expect chances to be at a premium for each team, who are evenly matched. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 41.3%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
MetzDrawMontpellier HSC
41.3% (-0.745 -0.75) 26.05% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05) 32.65% (0.791 0.79)
Both teams to score 53.39% (0.421 0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.05% (0.421 0.42)50.95% (-0.421 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.18% (0.37 0.37)72.82% (-0.37 -0.37)
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.6% (-0.191 -0.19)24.39% (0.192 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.19% (-0.26600000000001 -0.27)58.81% (0.266 0.27)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.62% (0.73299999999999 0.73)29.38% (-0.733 -0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.63% (0.89 0.89)65.36% (-0.89 -0.89)
Score Analysis
    Metz 41.3%
    Montpellier HSC 32.65%
    Draw 26.04%
MetzDrawMontpellier HSC
1-0 @ 10.11% (-0.22 -0.22)
2-1 @ 8.74% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
2-0 @ 7.13% (-0.202 -0.2)
3-1 @ 4.11% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.35% (-0.114 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.52% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.45% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.18% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 41.3%
1-1 @ 12.38% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.17% (-0.121 -0.12)
2-2 @ 5.35% (0.068 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.04%
0-1 @ 8.78% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.59% (0.137 0.14)
0-2 @ 5.38% (0.126 0.13)
1-3 @ 3.1% (0.117 0.12)
0-3 @ 2.2% (0.094 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.19% (0.071 0.07)
1-4 @ 0.95% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 32.65%

How you voted: Metz vs Montpellier

Metz
35.3%
Draw
50.0%
Montpellier HSC
14.7%
34
Head to Head
May 1, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 35
Montpellier
2-2
Metz
Souquet (79'), Wahi (90+1')
Oyongo (29'), Leroy (58')
Delaine (24'), Mafouta (70')
Pajot (51'), Sarr (66'), Lamkel Ze (68')
Dec 1, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 16
Metz
1-3
Montpellier
De Preville (70')
Sarr (34'), Bronn (36')
Savanier (36'), Mavididi (45+1'), Wahi (48')
Mollet (72'), Ristic (83')
Feb 3, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 23
Metz
1-1
Montpellier
Sarr (47')
Boye (9'), Leya Iseka (33'), Maiga (74'), Centonze (76'), Bronn (82'), Ambrose (90+1')
Laborde (70')
Congre (58')
Dec 16, 2020 6pm
Gameweek 15
Montpellier
0-2
Metz

Mollet (39'), Mavididi (64'), Laborde (76')
Leya Iseka (50' pen.), Maiga (90+1')
Leya Iseka (7'), Maiga (30'), Delaine (38'), Antonetti (65')
Feb 5, 2020 6pm
Gameweek 23
Montpellier
1-1
Metz
Savanier (13')
Souquet (14'), Ferri (39')
Boulaya (79')
N'Doram (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG312010176294770
2MonacoMonaco32187762422061
3Brest32169749331657
4Lille311510645271855
5Nice31149836251151
6Lens32147114234849
7Rennes32129115143845
8Marseille31111194738944
9Lyon31135134251-944
10Montpellier HSCMontpellier321011114144-340
11Toulouse321010123942-340
12Reims31117133845-740
13StrasbourgStrasbourg3299143547-1236
14NantesNantes3296172949-2033
15Le HavreLe Havre32711143342-932
16Metz3285193454-2029
17Lorient3268183763-2626
18Clermont32510172654-2825


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!