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Ligue 1
Lille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 14
Dec 3, 2023 at 4.05pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Metz logo

Lille
2 - 0
Metz

Yazici (45+2'), David (45+6' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Metz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Ljubljana 0-2 Lille
Thursday, November 30 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Metz

All competitions
Last Game: Lorient 2-3 Metz
Sunday, November 26 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lille 2-1 Metz

 A closely-fought contest between two in-form teams could be on the cards on Sunday, but considering that Lille are set to recall a few first-team regulars who were rested in midweek, we expect Fonceca's men to have few issues coming away with all three points on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 60.92%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Metz had a probability of 17.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
LilleDrawMetz
60.92% (-0.657 -0.66) 21.16% (0.074999999999999 0.07) 17.92% (0.579 0.58)
Both teams to score 54.04% (0.913 0.91)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.18% (0.637 0.64)42.82% (-0.64 -0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.78% (0.63 0.63)65.22% (-0.63199999999999 -0.63)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.41% (0.007000000000005 0.01)13.59% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.29% (0.012999999999998 0.01)40.7% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.53% (1.05 1.05)37.46% (-1.052 -1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.75% (1.017 1.02)74.24% (-1.02 -1.02)
Score Analysis
    Lille 60.92%
    Metz 17.92%
    Draw 21.16%
LilleDrawMetz
1-0 @ 10.16% (-0.28 -0.28)
2-0 @ 10.14% (-0.28 -0.28)
2-1 @ 9.96% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.75% (-0.188 -0.19)
3-1 @ 6.62% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.37% (-0.093 -0.09)
4-1 @ 3.31% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.25% (0.096 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.62% (0.048 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.34% (-0.037 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.32% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 60.92%
1-1 @ 9.98% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.09% (-0.146 -0.15)
2-2 @ 4.89% (0.142 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.16%
0-1 @ 5% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 4.9% (0.141 0.14)
0-2 @ 2.45% (0.07 0.07)
1-3 @ 1.6% (0.09 0.09)
2-3 @ 1.6% (0.09 0.09)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 17.92%

How you voted: Lille vs Metz

Lille
84.0%
Draw
16.0%
Metz
0.0%
25
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 25
Lille
0-0
Metz
Zhegrova (83'), Fonte (87'), Djalo (90+7')
Zhegrova (90+1'), Gourvennec (90+5')
Maiga (22'), Kouyate (67'), Caillard (79'), Amadou (90+7')
> Preview
Aug 8, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 1
Metz
3-3
Lille
Centonze (31', 52'), Udol (41')
Bronn (56')
Kouyate (56')
Botman (23'), Ikone (81'), Yilmaz (90+6')
Ikone (79'), Yilmaz (83')
> Preview
Apr 9, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 32
Metz
0-2
Lille

Kouyate (65'), Sarr (76')
Yilmaz (60'), Celik (89')
Fonte (16'), Yilmaz (45+2')
> Preview
Sep 13, 2020 12pm
Gameweek 3
Lille
1-0
Metz
Araujo (88')
Pied (31'), Bradaric (57'), Andre (80'), C. (80'), Celik (84')

Maiga (20'), Bronn (36'), Pajot (43'), Centonze (75')
> Preview
Apr 11, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 32
Metz
P-P
Lille
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG18144048163246
2Marseille18114340211937
3Lille1888228171132
4MonacoMonaco189452920931
5Nice1886436251130
6Lyon188552922729
7Lens187652218427
8Toulouse187471919025
9Brest188192831-325
10StrasbourgStrasbourg186663130124
11Auxerre186482428-422
12Angers186482127-622
13Reims185672426-221
14Rennes1852112427-317
15NantesNantes183872128-717
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1852111738-2117
17Le HavreLe Havre1841131437-2313
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1833121843-2512
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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